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Transcript of Our AI Future Is Way Worse Than You Think: Yuval Noah Harari

Here is the full transcript of Israeli medievalist and military historian Yuval Noah Harari’s interview on The Rich Roll Podcast episode titled “Our AI Future Is Way Worse Than You Think”, Oct 28, 2024.

The interview starts here:

The Rise of the Machines

RICH ROLL: I got news for you people. The rise of the machines is already upon us. So what exactly do we need to understand about the rapid ascent of artificial intelligence? What does this revolution augur for the future of the human species? To gain clarity amidst the confusion, I’m joined today by Yuval Noah Harari, a world renowned historian and mega bestselling author whose landmark books on the history and future of humanity have sold an astonishing 45 million copies and made him the public intellectual of our time.

Thank you for coming. I appreciate you being here today. I’m excited to unpack what I think is a really revelatory book, a very important book that speaks to perhaps the most vital issue of our time. And in reflecting upon it, I was thinking back on Homo Deus, which came out in 2015.

YUVAL NOAH HARARI: 16. Yeah, 16.

RICH ROLL: And in that book you address AI. But at that time it was as if you were sounding an alarm on a future story that had yet to be written. And perhaps it came off a bit Cassandra in that moment. And I’m curious, as we find ourselves now in 2024, eight, nine years later, it’s as if not only are we kind of on the cusp of this new revolution, we’re mired in it in a way that perhaps even is far more intense than even you predicted at that time.

What Is AI Really?

YUVAL NOAH HARARI: Yeah, I mean things have been moving much, much faster than I think any of us predicted. And in 2016, AI was like this tiny cloud on the horizon that might arrive in decades or even centuries. And here we are in 2024 and the storm is kind of upon us.

And I think maybe the most important thing is really to understand what AI is, because now there is so much hype around AI that it’s becoming difficult for people to understand what is AI. Now, everything is AI. You know, especially in the markets, in the investment world, they attach the tag AI to just about anything in order to sell it. So, your coffee machine is now an AI coffee machine. And your shoes are AI shoes.

The key thing to understand is that AIs are able to learn and change by themselves, to make decisions by themselves, to invent new ideas by themselves. If a machine cannot do that, it’s not really an AI. So a coffee machine that just makes you coffee automatically, but by a pre-programmed way, and it never learns anything new, it’s just an automatic machine. It’s not an AI.

It becomes an AI if as you approach the coffee machine, the machine before you press any button addresses you and says to you, “I’ve been watching you for the last weeks or months, and based on everything I’ve learned about you and your facial expression and the time of day and so forth, I predict you would like an espresso. So I already took the liberty to make a cup for you,” made the decision independently.

And it’s really an AI if it then tells you, “Actually I’ve invented a new beverage, a new drink that no human ever thought about before. I call it Bestpresso, and I think it’s better than espresso you would like more. And I took the liberty to prepare a cup for you.” Then it’s really an AI, something that can make decisions and invent new ideas by itself, and therefore, by definition, something that we cannot predict how it will develop and evolve. And for good or for bad, it can invent medicines and treatments we never thought about. But it can also invent weapons and dangerous strategies that go beyond our imagination.

Alien Intelligence, Not Artificial Intelligence

RICH ROLL: You characterize AI not as artificial intelligence, but as alien intelligence. You give it a different term. Can you explain the difference there and why you’ve landed on that word?

YUVAL NOAH HARARI: Traditionally, the acronym AI stood for artificial intelligence. But with every passing year, AI becomes less artificial and more alien. Alien not in the sense that it’s coming from outer space, it’s not we create it, but alien in the sense it analyzes information, makes decisions, invents new things in a fundamentally different way than human beings.

Artificial is from artifact—it gives us the impression that this is an artifact that we control. And this is misleading because, yes, we designed the kind of baby AIs, we gave them the ability to learn and change by themselves, and then we release them to the world. And they do things that are not under our control, that are unpredictable. And in this sense, they are alien.

And again, humans are organic entities like other animals. We function organically. For instance, we function by cycles, day and night, summer and winter. We sometimes active, sometimes we need to rest, we need to sleep. AIs are alien in the sense that they are not organic. They function in a completely different way, not by cycles. And they don’t need to rest and they don’t need to sleep.

And now, as they take over more and more parts of reality, parts of society, there is a kind of tug of war of who would be forced to adapt to whom? Would the inorganic AIs be forced to adapt to the organic cycles of the human body, of the human being? Or would humans be pressured into adopting this kind of inorganic lifestyle?

Hence, starting with the simplest thing that AI are always on, but people need time to be off. So if you think even about something like the financial markets, traditionally, if you look at Wall Street, it’s open only Mondays to Fridays, 9:30 in the morning to 4:00 in the afternoon.