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Home » Tucker Carlson Show: with Clayton Morris (Transcript)

Tucker Carlson Show: with Clayton Morris (Transcript)

Editor’s Notes: This interview examines escalating tensions in the Middle East, focusing on claims that Israel is working to involve the U.S. military in a potential confrontation with Iran. Tucker Carlson speaks with Clayton Morris about how these dynamics could affect U.S. foreign policy and ongoing efforts toward a negotiated peace under President Donald Trump. The discussion explores alleged strategic calculations by Israeli leadership, the role of American political figures, and the possible consequences of a wider regional conflict. Viewers are invited to consider how these developments might shape future U.S.–Israel relations and broader security in the region. (Feb 26, 2026)

TRANSCRIPT:

The Looming Iran War: What You’re Not Being Told

TUCKER CARLSON:

Well, between the Super Bowl halftime show and Epstein and the Winter Olympics, most Americans probably weren’t aware that we are on the verge of a massive regional war in the Middle East, if not a third world war. We are. The largest movement of American military hardware since 2003, the Iraq invasion, is now in or steaming toward the Persian Gulf off Iran, preparatory to what could be the aforementioned war. Now most people once again probably didn’t know this. Those who did know it weren’t for it.

Recent polls on this question — are you for a war with Iran? — it’s about one in five Americans who support it. The rest are probably asking, “War with Iran? Why do we have a war with Iran?” They said, “No idea.”

Trump’s Position on Iran

The president did address it last night in his State of the Union, in a press conference. And he said in public what he basically says in private. Trump being one of those rare public figures who’s pretty much the same behind closed doors as he is on stage, says pretty much the same stuff. It’s a little funnier in private, but basically he’s not a different guy. He’s the same guy.

And he’s been saying the same thing about Iran for a long time. Really two things.

One, Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. They cannot have a nuclear weapon. He says it again and again. He really means it. That’s not a talking point. It’s completely sincere.

And two, “I would prefer a negotiated settlement. I prefer peace rather than war.” And that’s obviously true.

So to bottom line where we are right now at the end of February 2026 — this looming Iran war seems likely. We have all those aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf, planes ready, missiles ready. But it’s not certain, because the president hasn’t decided to do it. And you may not get that impression from watching the news.

The Psyop of Inevitability

There is the sense that it’s inevitable, and that’s kind of a psyop, actually, designed to make you think there’s nothing you can do about it. No. Trump has not decided to do this. Again, it seems likely that all the momentum is in that direction, but the president is the sole decider on this question. He’s the commander in chief, and he’s showing no obvious signs of enthusiasm.

And why would he? There are a lot of reasons not to do this. The first being the one just mentioned, which is most Americans don’t want it. And though it’s not a direct democracy, it’s a form of democracy, and you probably shouldn’t commit history-changing acts without the support of your people. And Trump feels that way.

This is someone who pays very close attention to TV ratings. Why is that? Not just because he worked in TV, but because he thinks they’re a pretty good measure of what people are interested in. He cares about what people think, and he’s willing to listen to almost anybody.

So that’s a good reason not to do it. The public’s not behind you. Maybe you’ve got great reasons to do it that they don’t know about yet, but we haven’t heard those, and the president hasn’t really explained them other than to say Iran is bad. Yes. That’s been the official US position since 1979. Iran can’t have nukes. That’s always been the president’s position, and we would like some kind of settlement.

Why This War Would Be Particularly Tough

The reason he’s not eager to start this war is because he, in general, isn’t eager to start wars — hasn’t been anyway — but also because this would be a particularly tough war. This is the largest buildup since the Iraq war, but Iran is not Iraq. It’s much, much, much bigger and much more technologically advanced.

The population of Iran is about 92 million. In 2003, almost exactly twenty-three years ago, when we rolled into Baghdad, the population of Iraq was 25 million. So Iran is more than three times bigger. The landmass of Iran is six times bigger. It’s huge. It’s a huge, pretty advanced country compared to Iraq. So that’s a problem right there.

This is a serious thing — to start a war with a real country. Are we in a position to do that? Well, there’s some debate about that. The US military performs in a remarkable way under certain circumstances. But is the US military right now ready for a prolonged conflict with a big country? No. It turns out.

America’s Military Readiness Problem

And these are facts taken from open-source material that have been published on the Internet. You can look it up. None of this is classified. This is all out there.

Current estimates suggest that the United States is so low on some munitions — partly because we’ve used them in the defense of Israel already in the last twelve months — but whatever the cause, the United States is so low on certain kinds of munitions that were we to have even a brief but intense engagement with Iran, our military would not be ready for, like, ten years to fight a real war against a peer or near-peer adversary.

So out the window would go any hope of defending Taiwan. Whether or not it’s a good idea is up to you to decide, but that would not even be on the table because we wouldn’t be able to.