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Transcript: Scott Bessent Interview with Axios Co-Founder Mike Allen

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sits down with Axios co-founder Mike Allen in the Treasury Department’s historic Cash Room for a candid conversation on inflation, gas prices, the Iran conflict and Operation Economic Fury, the AI boom, US-China AI safety talks, and the bond market. Bessent also discusses new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, Trump Accounts for kids, no tax on tips, his clash with Elon Musk, and his journey from Little River, South Carolina, to Wall Street and the Cabinet. Read the full transcript of this interview below:

Welcome to the Cash Room

MIKE ALLEN: (00:00:24 – 00:00:35): Scott Bessent, 79th Treasury Secretary, proud South Carolinian, once known as “Wall Street’s quiet killer” for your dealmaking chops. Secretary Bessent, welcome to the Axios Show.

SCOTT BESSENT: (00:00:36 – 00:00:37): Mike, great to be with you.

MIKE ALLEN: (00:00:37 – 00:00:41): Thanks for having us into the Cash Room. I understand there used to be literal cash in these vaults.

SCOTT BESSENT: (00:00:41 – 00:01:21): There used to be cash in these vaults. And at one point, the inauguration ball was in here. So Treasury is a great building. We’ve got 3 museum offices. So we’ve got Salmon Chase’s Office that he financed the Civil War. I used to say for the Union, but I was corrected and said for the United States of America, which allowed Abraham Lincoln to win against the Confederacy.

We have the Johnson Suite where President Johnson actually worked after President Lincoln was assassinated because he wanted to give Mary Lincoln 30 days to move out of the White House. And then we have the Treasurer’s Office, which also has vaults in it.

MIKE ALLEN: (00:01:22 – 00:01:30): Very neat. So, Mr. Secretary, I want to have a real conversation. I’m going to be blunt. I won’t bullshit you. Please don’t bullshit me. Does that work?

SCOTT BESSENT: (00:01:30 – 00:01:34): We can both pull out our BS flags.

Cost of Living and the “Golden Age”

MIKE ALLEN: (00:01:38 – 00:01:59): You’re in charge of the economy at a time when many Americans are hurting and they blame your boss, the president. A new AP poll says 17% fewer than 1 in 5 approve of the president’s handling of the cost of living, one of the big issues that got him elected. And we spent a lot of time together on the campaign trail. What happened to the golden age?

SCOTT BESSENT: (00:01:59 – 00:02:10): Look, I think it is there. I think it’s accelerating. I think the Iran conflict is masking a lot of it. But Mike, I can tell you what we’re not going to do.

MIKE ALLEN: (00:02:10 – 00:02:15): Well, it’s not just masking it, it’s deterred it, it’s held it back.

SCOTT BESSENT: (00:02:15 – 00:02:26): Well, if you look at the numbers, any of the numbers are quite strong, other than headline inflation. The numbers are very strong.

MIKE ALLEN: (00:02:26 – 00:02:30): Well, look at the number. Gas is $4.41 a gallon, up a buck and a quarter from a year ago.

SCOTT BESSENT: (00:02:30 – 00:02:34): That’s headline inflation. That’s headline inflation.

MIKE ALLEN: (00:02:34 – 00:02:37): And that’s what hits most Americans.

SCOTT BESSENT: (00:02:39 – 00:03:14): But what everyone calls groceries, what do you think the inflation rate is? Economists call it food at home. 2.2%, right back down to where it had been. So, but what we’re not going to do is do what the Biden people do and did, or tell the American people how good they had it.

That, look, I understand sometimes I feel like an emergency room doctor, that the American people were backed over by the inflation Mack truck, 21.5% inflation. And at least -4% real wage gains.

MIKE ALLEN: (00:03:14 – 00:03:29): But they feel like they’re still in the hospital. 2 weeks ago, Wall Street Journal, weeks before the midterms, “almost everything is getting more expensive.” Last weekend, Wall Street Journal, “the cost of transporting pretty much everything just won’t stop going up.”

SCOTT BESSENT: (00:03:29 – 00:03:44): Well, again, I’m not going to speak to the veracity of the Journal. And is how much is everything going up over time? Prices go up. The Fed wants them to go up about 2%. But, Mike, to come back—

MIKE ALLEN: (00:03:44 – 00:03:47): But so you are saying that people are better off than they feel?

SCOTT BESSENT: (00:03:48 – 00:04:25): I am saying that there is the stated preference and revealed preference. So I was just with the largest banks in America. I had the 2 major credit card companies come in last week. And what we’re seeing is spending is quite strong. Especially for the bottom 2 quintiles of wage earners. If anything, the spending is coming down for the top quintile.

And one of the largest banks in America told me, “we can see working Americans putting more into their accounts every week from wages.”

MIKE ALLEN: (00:04:25 – 00:04:27): So you’re seeing light at the end of the tunnel?

SCOTT BESSENT: (00:04:28 – 00:05:17): No, what I’m saying is we are seeing substantial wage increases, 3.5%, 3.7% median wage increase. And that’s about in line with headline inflation. And the difference here is, look, breaking even after what happened during the Biden years is not our goal.

But what will happen, we will get to the other side of this Iran conflict. I think oil is going to be more well-supplied. I think we’re going to be much lower, Wage gains will keep coming because we are having a manufacturing renaissance.

We are seeing the job gains go to Americans. We’re seeing private sector jobs this time other than government jobs. Private sector jobs are what drive wage increases. And the energy shock will fade away.

Iran, Economic Fury and Operation Economic Outcast

MIKE ALLEN: (00:05:21 – 00:05:35): You became the economic face of the war with Economic Fury, as you branded, and Operation Economic Outcast.