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Transcript: Will the Iran War Cause a Global Depression? w/ Prof. Richard Wolff

Editor’s Notes: In this episode of The Chris Hedges Report, host Chris Hedges sits down with renowned economist Professor Richard Wolff to discuss the dire economic fallout from the war in Iran and its potential to trigger a global depression. They explore how the disruption of fragile, profit-driven supply chains and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz are already causing energy prices to soar and industries to collapse across the globe. Wolff provides a sharp analysis of the “declining American empire,” the weakening status of the U.S. dollar, and the long-term social costs of prioritizing corporate profits over economic stability. Together, they examine the grim reality of a fracturing world order and the urgent need to understand the social consequences of our interconnected global economy. (May 1, 2026)

TRANSCRIPT:

The Economic Fallout of the Iran War

CHRIS HEDGES: The economic fallout from 2 months of war in Iran is already crippling economies across the globe. Energy prices are soaring. Gasoline shortages and rationing are plaguing countries such as Vietnam, South Korea, and Thailand. Japan has had to twice dip into its strategic reserves since the war on Iran started in February. The rise in price of liquefied petroleum gas means cooking gas prices have skyrocketed, devastating households in countries such as India.

The price of nitrogen fertilizers produced in the Gulf are also rising at an alarming rate, guaranteeing steep increases in food prices. There are growing shortages of helium, aluminum, NAFTA devastating industries including the microchip industry. Textile mills in India and Bangladesh have shut down. Steel mills in India and automakers in Japan have cut production. Tens of thousands of workers across the globe have already lost their jobs.

Asian airlines, along with those in Poland, Germany, and Ireland, are cutting flights and raising surcharges with a doubling of the price of jet fuel. The United Arab Emirates, one of the world’s richest countries with sovereign wealth funds that total more than $2 trillion, has asked the United States for a financial lifeline in the wake of missile-damaged gas fields and a halt to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, the New York Times reports. Millions of people, especially in Asia and Africa, are at risk of falling into dire poverty because of the conflict, according to the United Nations Development Programme.

The US, which is a net exporter of oil and natural gas, has been relatively insulated from the global shock, although gasoline prices have risen by a dollar a gallon since February 28th. But this will not remain the case if Iran does not open the straits soon. The average US diesel price has already increased by nearly 50%, surpassing $5.60 a gallon. Higher fuel prices coupled with growing shortages and disruptions in supply chains will begin to take a heavy toll on the US economy as everything we pay for, including consumer products, food, and transportation, rise in price.

We flirt not only with a global recession, but if the closure of the strait is not resolved, a global depression with all of the suffering and inevitable social and political instability catastrophic financial crises inflict on societies.

Joining me to discuss the economic consequences of the war is Professor Richard Wolff. Professor Wolff is a professor emeritus of economics at the University of Massachusetts Amherst and a visiting professor in the graduate program in international affairs of the New School. He has also taught economics at Yale University, City University of New York, University of Utah, and the University of Paris.

I want to begin, Rick, by examining something that’s not, I think, been widely discussed, and that is supply chains, how fragile they are. We’re already seeing, of course, supply chains being degraded, how difficult it is to resurrect them. And what the consequences of serious damage to supply chains are.

The Fragility of Global Supply Chains

RICHARD WOLFF: Okay, it’s a really good place to start, Chris, because it allows me to talk a moment about economic history. Particularly since the 1970s, major large capitalist corporations — American, but also Western European, Japanese, and others — have followed the guideline of profit maximization, the religion of capitalism, to move production — to make a long complex story short — to move production around the world from being concentrated in the United States, for example, to being spread all over the world.

In 1970 Detroit was the center of the automobile industry for this country, and surrounding Detroit were literally hundreds of medium and small businesses that fed the auto industry. But they were all within 20 to 50 miles of Detroit. All of that is gone, with Detroit showing it. Its population today, just to give you an idea of the social consequences, is about 700,000 people. In 1970, it was just shy of 2 million people. That’s the demographic, if you like, of what happened to that industry.

Well, it went abroad. And here’s the reality: if you go abroad to China for one set of activities, to India for another, to Brazil for a third, what you are creating is long supply chains. This is not a matter of technology. That’s often the misunderstanding — modern technology requires — no, it doesn’t. It’s not about modern technology. The technologies installed in China are not that different from the technologies that were installed here. The reality was that the labor cost in China was much lower, and the desperation of those countries to bring jobs there meant that they offered very high profits, and American corporations took that offer.

No one held a gun to their head. This wasn’t done under duress. This was your normal capitalist investment where the profits are the highest. The end result, which they did not calculate, because they rarely do, was not to take into account all the secondary consequences of long supply chains.

Here are some of the consequences: you have to travel long distances to bring the finished product from China or India or Bangladesh or wherever it is back to the United States for sale.