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Home » The India Story: w/ Mohandas Pai on Why India Gets “Pushed Around” Globally (Transcript)

The India Story: w/ Mohandas Pai on Why India Gets “Pushed Around” Globally (Transcript)

This is the full transcript of business visionary Mohandas Pai’s interview on The India Story Podcast, January 8, 2026.

Brief Notes: In this high-stakes 2026 update from The India Story, host Vikram Chandra sits down with business visionary Mohandas Pai to deconstruct why India continues to be “pushed around” on the global stage despite its $4 trillion economy. Pai delivers a searing critique of the “tax terrorism” and regulatory hurdles that still shackle private enterprise, outlining a bold “Mohandas Pai Doctrine” to propel India toward a $10 trillion GDP through radical liberalization and legal reform.

The conversation spans the geopolitical shifts of the second Trump presidency, the urgent crisis of urban infrastructure in cities like Delhi and Bengaluru, and the potential for a “reform express” to finally unlock the country’s full entrepreneurial potential. From the hard-won success of the IT sector to the future of AI and manufacturing, this episode provides an unfiltered roadmap for India to transition from its socialist legacy to a global economic hegemon.

Introduction

VIKRAM CHANDRA: Hey everyone. Good to have you on the India Story Podcast. 2025 coming to an end. 2026 beginning. How has the year been? Well, challenging, clearly on the external front. But then there are some signs of reform. What’s going to happen in 2026? Well, we’ll find out. But there are hopes, their expectations and their fears.

And who better to talk to about all of that than Mohandas Pai. Let’s start this conversation by what we talk about, which is the India Story. That’s what this program is about. How do you think the India story did in 2025 and where do you think we are poised right now?

America’s Economic Crisis and Global Geopolitics

MOHANDAS PAI: Well, I think India has done very well. The world is in a very difficult situation right now because geopolitics is reshaping the world. We have President Trump who is very clear that the United States is the only hegemon in town, the only story in town. And what he says is the way the world has to behave.

And he is facing a crisis in America which people need to understand. What is the crisis? $32 trillion GDP, $38 trillion debt, 1.8 to $2 trillion deficit every year. And they got a trade deficit and they borrow that kind of money. And they keep borrowing $1.82 trillion every year. In four years time, it will possibly go up to 45, 46 trillion dollars.

They’re paying nearly $1.2 trillion of interest. This year it could go to 1.5 trillion on a revenue of 7 trillion. So what do you do? I mean, the whole world has been sponging off America for long dumping.

VIKRAM CHANDRA: Hang on, hang on. I mean, I can never argue with you about the numbers because your number and data is really great.

MOHANDAS PAI: Yes.

VIKRAM CHANDRA: But the person who is responsible for most of those trade deficits or the country who is responsible is China. He seems to be really soft on China. Instead, he’s beating up on Europe and beating up on India and beating up on other countries which don’t have as much to do with it as China does. He’s very soft on China. He’s very soft on Russia. He’s very tough with all his friends.

China’s Trade Surplus and Trump’s Strategy

MOHANDAS PAI: Well, there’s over dependence on China. You just saw the data today which said by November, China has a trade surplus of $1 trillion. No country in human civilization had a trade surplus that huge. China has a Trade Surplus of $1 trillion. Surplus.

United States has come down, but China’s proxies in the world, like Vietnam and others, have seen huge surpluses being generated. So China is exporting to America via some other things. And today you see this strange situation. A global superpower, a kind of power which the world has never seen, is facing a very bad economic situation and needs to redeem itself.

So what is President Trump doing? President Trump has to reduce the trade deficit in goods, which I think is 1.3 trillion. They got a huge surplus on services. And the biggest trade deficit is with China. Then it comes Europe, then comes Mexico, then comes Canada, and then a few countries. He has given the list.

So he’s put a tariff on each one of them, depending upon the net deficit that he has with those countries. And he did it just on a formula. He didn’t care. For the first time we have a US President who says, “I don’t care about the world. I have no obligation to the world. I’ve got obligation to myself. I got to reform America.”

The world may not like it, but does America require that kind of medicine? Yes. And economically I think something should happen. I just saw data we said from April to September of this year in the United States, deficit is only about 489 billion. It’s come down compared to the whole deficit this year of nearly 1.8 trillion.

Now, what is he trying to do? He’s putting tariffs on imports into America in the hope to get more revenues that give protection to American industries so that American industry can come up. Remember in the Second World War, the industrial might of America that won the war. Germany could not.

VIKRAM CHANDRA: And a lot of people from Russia who died.

MOHANDAS PAI: No, no, I’ll tell you. 21 million Russians died. 16 million Germans died. The Russians actually defeated the Nazis. But the industrial might of the United States that buttress the Allies to come in. The kind of ships that they built, one ship a day, the kind of tanks and the planes they did. And they fought on two fronts.

India as a Casualty of Geopolitics

VIKRAM CHANDRA: Fundamental question, as I said, this is the India story that I’m doing and…

MOHANDAS PAI: India is a casualty. What is India going to do in all of this? India is a casualty.

VIKRAM CHANDRA: He can’t take on China because China’s got rare earth.