Read the full transcript of a panel discussion on Piers Morgan Uncensored episode titled “A War For SURVIVAL, Trump To Secure Putin Peace Deal?” with guests: former US secretary of state for political-military affairs General Mark Kimmitt, Head of the Global Magnitsky Justice campaign Bill Browder, host of ‘Part of the Problem’ podcast Dave Smith, YouTuber Anna from Ukraine and Russian State TV reporter Andrei Afanasyev, August 13, 2025.
Introduction
PIERS MORGAN: President Trump will meet president Putin at an historic summit in Alaska on Friday.
It’s the first meeting from the US president and Putin since Russia invaded Ukraine, and it may represent the biggest chance yet of ending three and a half years of war. Ukrainian president Zelenskyy is fearful that Trump’s deal making desires will result in a sellout with territory handed illegally to Russia.
“Any decision that is against us, any decision that is without Ukraine, they are at the same time a decision against peace. They will not give anything. These are dead decisions. They will never work, and we all need real living peace, peace that people will respect.” – Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Well, for his part, Trump says it’s not his place to make a deal on Ukraine’s behalf, but he does intend to help Putin. He’s got to end the war. The main aim, he says, is to feel out what happens next.
“Well, we’re going to have a meeting with Vladimir Putin. And at the end of that meeting, probably in the first two minutes, I’ll know exactly whether or not a deal can be won. Know that. Because that’s what I do. I make deals.” – President Trump
The Moral Dilemma
It may stick in the crawl to see Putin, a wanted international war criminal, given the red carpet treatment on US soil.
It may stick in the crawl to imagine twenty percent of Ukraine being handed to Russia in exchange for ending a war it began. But is there any alternative besides more weapons, more deaths, more sanctions, and more suffering? Will the Ukrainian people, and for that matter, the American people, accept a deal if it comes with a guarantee of US security? And can Putin be trusted to stick with a ceasefire in a war he is prepared to fight for the rest of his life?
We have an expert panel to discuss all this. Joining me now is Dave Smith, host of Part of the Problem, Brigadier General Mark Kimmitt, the former US secretary of state for political military affairs, Bill Browder, head of the Global Magnitsky Justice Campaign, and the YouTuber and commentator Anna from Ukraine.
Putin’s True Intentions
PIERS MORGAN: Well, welcome to all of you. Bill, from a purely military perspective, is there any alternative now to ending this war that does not involve Russia keeping most or not all of the territory that it has taken?
BILL BROWDER: Well, I think that the most important issue is whether any of these parties want to stop fighting. And the Ukrainians, of course, want a ceasefire, but Vladimir Putin absolutely doesn’t want a ceasefire.
He wants to continue this war. He has every intention of continuing this war. He has no intention of compromising. And this whole idea of having a summit is just a way to get Trump off his back so that all of a sudden Zelenskyy becomes the guy who’s supposedly getting in the way of peace.
He wants to meet with Trump. He wants to say, we’re going to do some type of deal that will be totally unacceptable to the Ukrainians. And then all of a sudden, Trump is going to say to Zelensky, well, you’re the guy who doesn’t want peace. You’re the one causing all this trouble.
Putin gets everything he has set out to get, which is carrying on with the war, but he no longer has Trump on his back, which is what he’s had for the last six months.
Military Reality Check
PIERS MORGAN: Let me bring in Dave Smith here. Dave, again, I’ve got a lot of military in my family, and they have said to me pretty consistently for a long period of this war that there’s no way that Ukraine can actually win, that it may want to win and has shown extraordinary courage in fighting, for much longer than many people thought it would be able to, but that, actually, it cannot actually defeat Russia.
And, therefore, what you’re talking about is just a question of how much territory they’ll end up losing and how many people on both sides are going to end up dying. And the numbers are horrific, obviously, in terms of the death count now. Over a million on the Russian side, hundreds of thousands on the Ukrainian side.
From a military perspective, it just seems to me that Ukraine is in a very difficult position.
DAVE SMITH: Yeah. I mean, part of this, I think, comes down to how exactly you define winning or losing. I think if we’re all being fair, the truth is that Ukraine put up a much better fight than many of us imagined they would have, and I’ll say myself included in that.
I think it was back in 2014 where Vladimir Putin said I don’t remember if he said one week or two weeks, but he said, I could be in Kyiv in a week or two weeks. And that certainly wasn’t the case. Ukraine put up a very good fight, and they protected Kyiv.
There’s a part of that at least is that the Ukrainians were much more formidable than most of us thought they were. And part of that is also that they had a kind of blank check from the Biden administration in the Western world. Part of that is that, since 2014, NATO has been doing joint military training exercises with the Ukrainian military.
But I think to your point, Piers, when it comes down to the stuff that Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi, when she was speaker of the house, was on record saying they were going to take back Crimea and that no territory would be lost.
And that even though this has taken longer than probably Vladimir Putin would have liked or at least was claiming it would, that, yes, Ukraine is not taking back all of this territory. And now the best that we could hope for is that some type of deal is reached here where the killing stops as Trump said in his greatest comment ever about the situation.
The Nuclear Communication Crisis
So I think we should all at least take it as a positive sign that Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump are talking. I think it is absolute madness that for the last three years, the two countries that have the biggest stockpile of nuclear weapons in the history of the world have not had their heads of state talking. And, I mean, this is just craziness.
At the very least, lines of communication should be open, which they were not at all, under the Biden administration. So I’m happy that this thing has pivoted. I don’t know if it’s true that Vladimir Putin has no interest in ending this. I’ve seen it reported that he’s at least been signaling that he would be willing to settle for the Donbas region and transportation to Crimea in the south there, but give back some of that territory.
Let’s all hope that that’s true because the truth is, Piers, as Scott Horton has told you, as your brother-in-law has told you, the only option here is to send in the 82nd Airborne and the people of America simply are not willing to do that. We’re not willing to actually go to direct war with Russia over whether Luhansk is controlled by Moscow or Kyiv.
The Ukrainian Perspective
PIERS MORGAN: Anna from Ukraine, welcome to uncensored. What is the view in Ukraine about this? I’ve been to, I went to Kyiv four months after the war began. I interviewed the president, and the first lady, and was incredibly impressed by Zelensky, I have to say, and his resolve and resilience. And I’ve continued to be very impressed by his resolve and resilience and that of the Ukrainian people.
But there comes a point in every war when reality has to prevail. Do Ukrainian people believe that this war can end without seeding the territory that Russia has taken?
ANNA FROM UKRAINE: Thank you so much for having me, Piers, and for inviting other Ukrainians to actually speak about the realities on the ground directly from Ukraine. And to tell you the truth, it would be much easier to end this war if it was a conflict for the territories or resources as many keep describing.
We all know that Russia is the largest country in the world. Trust me, has enough territories, and actually a lot of these territories demand attention and money from the Kremlin. But instead, they choose to invest in war, and at this moment of time, they have approximately one million active soldiers. They’ve lost a lot, but they also have an active army. They have a fully operating military machine.
All of their industry is centered around the production of weapons. They are also making great progress in drone warfare, in the war of the 21st century. They have trustworthy allies like China, unfortunately, North Korea, and Iran.
Beyond Ukraine: Global Implications
And for me, it’s pretty obvious that once again, unfortunately, this war is not about Ukraine, it’s not about Donetsk or Luhansk. It’s the way to demonstrate the weakness of the west, which Russian propaganda speaks constantly about.
I personally feel very sorry that all of the experts who speak about Russia Ukraine war very rarely watch Russia state TV where they openly speak about the need to extend further, and they mention a lot of countries, and they actually speak about Berlin that was half Soviet not that long ago.
So, unfortunately, if Putin gets a prize, more Ukrainian territories and his back on the international arena, it will be taken not just as a green light, but as a to continue. And the army of soldiers that he has, it’s very obvious he does not want them back in Russia because this will create a lot of problems inside Russia.
For Putin, the continuation of this war means the continuation of his regime, and this is exactly what other authoritarian regimes also expect. So I may say a very surprising phrase, but forget as for Ukrainian, forget about Ukraine for a second. Think about the destroyed international world order, the violated rules.
If we start rewriting the borders of Ukraine, it will one hundred percent continue to Taiwan, the Philippines, the Baltics, and, twenty, thirty years may have very bad consequences even for those lucky countries that are across the ocean from Russia.
Military Assessment: The Long Slog
PIERS MORGAN: General Kimmitt, from a military perspective, is there any way to resolve this now without Russia keeping most, if not all, of the territory it’s taken?
GENERAL MARK KIMMITT: Well, certainly, there is, but I think it would come at a cost and a price that is unacceptable to anyone in the West, whether it’s the European countries or it’s the United States. More than likely, if we continue this drip drip drip of equipment resupply and ammunition resupply, this war could continue for years.
In a little bit of self promotion, I wrote about this in The Wall Street Journal four months after the war started, that this was going to turn into a long, ugly slog. Could it end quickly with Russia losing? Yes. But one can only imagine the types of weapons, the quantity of weapons, and the quantity of soldiers that the West would have to put into Ukraine to accomplish that mission. And that’s a price that I don’t think any country in either Europe or the United States is willing to pay.
Putin’s Imperial Ambitions: Reality Check
In terms of Putin’s aspirations, you know, many are very fearful that should he be seen to prevail in Ukraine, should he do a deal with president Trump, which allows him to keep a lot of the territory he’s taken, that it will simply embolden him to expand and go after other countries because he will have sensed that there is a weakness in the West to stop his imperialistic advance?
I think after four years of war, that has been somewhat discredited as a theory. The fact remains is that he is fighting for as long as he has to take a couple of hundred square miles in Ukraine fighting a single country. He’s got to think twice about trying to take on all of Europe and all of NATO.
Now it’s true he could do a lightning strike into the Baltics and probably get some land there, but there is no way that there’s any chance that he could take over Poland, Romania, Hungary, and then have to fight twenty seven different nations to do that.
This has been very, very costly for Vladimir Putin. I think he is not only looking for a way out. He won’t admit, but he probably has moderated his war aims a bit, and it could very well be this is leading to a frozen conflict very much like we’ve seen in Kashmir and until recently in Nagorno Karabakh.
Russian Perspective on Putin-Trump Summit
ANDREY AFANASYEV: Well, not sure I could tell you what Vladimir Putin wants from this summit, but definitely now we see the result of revolutions inspired by the West. It all started – the whole discussion, the whole problems the world has now – it started there, and it started with interfering of Western special services and governments into sovereign politics.
And after that, the fortunes here came. Fifteenth here violated Minsk from the West and all the rest. So what we see now is that West understands that they are losing. You are losing, guys. That’s why you’re discussing. That’s why you talk like that.
I was so shocked to hear all those propagandist stamps, like clichés from your peers. I’m so sorry to hear that. It’s a devastation for journalism actually in the world because it’s not an imperialistic war. It’s a war for survival. It’s a metaphor of survival for Russia.
This all started because you were coming too close to our borders in order to actually defeat, destroy, and put Russia into pieces and digest us. And it’s a defensive war for us. And this is how it’s felt. It was felt like this back in 2014. It was felt like this in 2022, and it is felt like this now.
And Trump is saying that 88% of Ukrainian population is ready for the deal. But here in Russia, every single person understands that no deal will guarantee our security other than the fulfilled results of special military operation. So that’s it.
PIERS MORGAN: Bill Browder, what’s your response to that?
Browder’s Counter-Argument
BILL BROWDER: Well, I mean, that’s the most Kafkaesque, “black is white, up is down” thing I’ve ever heard. Russia is the aggressor. Ukraine is the victim. Russia’s ten times the size militarily of Ukraine. They launched an unprovoked war of aggression.
All this nonsense about being surrounded is just complete nonsense, this whole NATO argument. In the meantime, as Russia has attacked Ukraine for the sin of wanting to join NATO, you’ve got Finland and Sweden joining NATO. Is Russia now attacking them? It’s just complete and utter nonsense to hear that type of argument.
And by the way, this individual probably should be very worried because he called it a war. You go to jail in Russia for calling it a war. You go to jail for eight years for calling it a war. So you better modify your description of what’s going on over there because you have to call it always a “special military operation,” what’s going on in Russia.
PIERS MORGAN: Yes. Anna, you want to jump in?
Ukrainian Response to Russian Claims
ANNA FROM UKRAINE: Yeah. Because it’s actually about revolutions and so on. You know, this Russian propaganda message – they never worked inside Ukraine, and they actually used them only outside. Because somehow the Western societies nowadays like themselves less, and Russia uses that against, unfortunately, normal and healthy democracies.
Inside Ukraine, they never managed to push this narrative, forgetting one very important fact that three of the ministers during the Revolution of Dignity were actually Russian citizens who returned back to Russia, and one of them is now an active deputy of the Russian parliament, which is definitely a proof that it was a silent annexation of Ukraine, similar to what they did to Belarus, but the Ukrainian civil society is way more active and protected us from that.
Also, this BS about the defense of Russia is something that I guess even Russian protagonists did not believe. Because with all the efforts, with the occupation of some of the Ukrainian territories, they did not manage to give any fake messages about either bio laboratories or an operation that was preparing. I wonder what did Ukrainians or NATO plan to do in 2022? Invade Moscow or Saint Petersburg? This is, of course, totally unrealistic.
And it’s pretty easy. Travel to Poland and then travel to Russia, and you will choose in which direction a new body and democracy wants to develop. It’s pretty easy to guess that it will be in the direction of the European Union, but not in the direction of Yekaterinburg. I am sorry.
And, of course, Russia was provoked, but Russia was not provoked by NATO. Now its border is 1,000 kilometers longer than it was before the start of the full scale invasion and now the winning of Vladimir Putin together with many more that I can actually enumerate, and many global media forget to mention when describing the so-called invincibility of the Russian army.
And also, the fact that more and more countries decided they want to join NATO was the fact that Russia kept attacking. Moldova, Chechnya, Georgia, Ukraine in 2014, Ukraine in 2022. So it’s a pretty natural decision. Independent states can choose their future.
And I’m sorry nobody wants to return back to the past, to the Soviet Union. I have never seen any other country that’s past oriented. They believe that they can find any prosperity, anything, only returning back to the past projects. You don’t see any future oriented thoughts inside Russia, so it’s pretty normal that those budding democracies that are starting growing and becoming more or less successful on the borders of Russia provoked Russia because they demonstrate it’s actually possible.
If you don’t have one ruler for 25 years that sucks all the resources from all the parts of the Russian Federation, you can build something more or less worthy. And that is why those poor, miserable Russian soldiers who entered Kyiv region were simply devastated with the middle class life in Ukraine.
Dave Smith’s Analysis
PIERS MORGAN: Okay. Dave Smith, we’ve talked a lot about this in the last two years or so and three years now. You know, I don’t doubt for a moment that Putin and a lot of people on the Russian side genuinely did feel an element of NATO pushing its luck, encroaching too far, representing a threat to Russian security. I’m sure they do believe that, but that doesn’t give them the justification to, as I see it, illegally invade a sovereign democratic European country. And nor do I believe that that is the only motivation for it. I think that Putin’s actions in the last two decades make it crystal clear that he very much regrets the breakup of the Soviet Union. And if he got the chance, he’d very much reform it.
DAVE SMITH: Well, I don’t think that Putin has really expressed that he would reform the Soviet Union. He certainly has lamented the fall of the Soviet Union and the former greatness of the Russian Empire. But, you know, just a few points here because number one, I do think the first – the most important thing for me to say is that I strongly disagree with our Russian guest here who described this as a defensive war or a war of necessity. I mean, I think that’s just factually not true. This was a war of choice, and it was a war of aggression.
And even though it is laughably absurd to call it unprovoked, Vladimir Putin still did make the choice to launch this war, and he is responsible for the enormous amount of human suffering that has come as a result of it.
That being said, the defenses here and the responses are laughable. I mean, I was actually chuckling when you said, you know, you’re needling him for not calling it a war rather than a special operation. You know, Piers, the last time the US declared war was World War Two. Legally speaking, every single war since then, the legal defense for it is that it’s not a war. It’s a military action. Vietnam, Iraq, Serbia, Afghanistan, all the ones you could think of were not declared wars. So that’s a little bit rich.
And look. The fact is that Vladimir Putin made it crystal clear that Ukrainian entry to NATO was his red line. And this point about Finland’s in there now – irrelevant. He never said that was his red line. He said Ukraine was.
And it is a fact that in the Bucharest summit in 2008, NATO announced Ukraine was coming in. It is a fact that US politicians kept pushing this over and over and over again for years against the warnings of Vladimir Putin and the entire Russian establishment. And it is a fact that the National Endowment for Democracy and the USAID poured close to $100 million into the Maidan revolution.
If we can’t be honest with ourselves and look back at this and go, “Why on earth were we constantly…” Look. I’m not Russian. I’m not Ukrainian. I’m American. I care about my country as you guys should care about yours. But we should ask ourselves why on earth we embarked in the policy of needling Putin over and over and over again when he had very realistic demands.
Stoltenberg, the former head of NATO said he admitted that Vladimir Putin sent him a draft treaty in 2022 before he invaded the country or late 2021, and all he asked was that we put in writing that Ukraine will not be brought into NATO. Who on earth can look back at this and say, “We shouldn’t have at least attempted to pursue a path where we would give him that security guarantee”?
And look. It’s nice as the Ukrainian lady here says, it’s a nice thought to say that sovereign countries can do whatever they want to, but the bottom line is that is not the way of the world. Mexico cannot join a military alliance with China. That’s a fact. And the general here will be the first to admit it. We wouldn’t just go, “Oh, you’re a sovereign country. Sure. You can be a part of Russia or China’s military alliance.” We wouldn’t allow that in a second.
And likewise, it is in the state of actual geopolitics. It was a reasonable demand for Vladimir Putin to say, “You cannot bring Ukraine into your military alliance,” and we should have put that in writing a long time ago. And I believe there’s a very good chance that this war never would have happened.
General Kimmitt’s Military Perspective
PIERS MORGAN: General Kimmitt, do you agree with Dave Smith there?
GENERAL MARK KIMMITT: Well, I agree with parts of it. It’s true that in return for Ukraine giving up its nuclear weapons after the fall of the wall that the United States agreed that Ukraine would not be part of NATO. In fact, we said that we wouldn’t expand NATO to the east, but all of those agreements, of course, have been violated by the Russians as well.
I just kind of like to go back to what I thought was the right point, which is the notion that the Russian view that the West is coming to take over Russia is laughable and Kafkaesque. I was in Germany when the wall fell in 1989, and you couldn’t drive from west to east because of all the cars coming across from the Warsaw Pact, the workers’ paradise, the Soviet Socialist Republics. People were voting with their feet, and they weren’t voting to go east.
I was able to get into the Warsaw Pact, and I’ve been into Russia. My question would be, “Who the hell would want to take over Russia?” It’s a declining nation. The average life expectancy is going down. The standard of living is one half of that of the West. You can say we’re going for the oil, but Russia doesn’t have enough oil for us to be interested in.
It’s as ludicrous as the United States desiring to take over Canada. At least Canada is first world country. Russia is a gas station disguised as a country, and it’s a country that’s going into the trash can. So this predicate that Russia is doing this simply to keep the West out, well, I would remind everybody what NATO was formed for. It was to keep the Americans in, the Russians out, and the Germans down.
But taking a look at what’s happened to Russia since it became the workers’ paradise, I’d say I wouldn’t buy any real estate there, and I don’t think any country would want to attack Russia because they’d be left with the overhang of taking over that dying nation.
Trump’s Latest Comments on Putin Meeting
PIERS MORGAN: Donald Trump speaking today at the White House, was asked about the meeting with Putin on Friday. He said he sees it as a “feel out meeting.” He said Putin wants to get involved. He believes Putin wants to get the war over with. He said he will tell Putin “you’ve got to end this war. You’ve got to end it,” but he won’t be making a deal between Russia and Ukraine, adding “it’s not up to me.”
And when asked if Zelensky would attend, he said he wasn’t part of it. “I would say he could go, but he’s gone to a lot of meetings. He’s been there for three and a half years, and nothing happened.” Trump said it probably better – “a deal will be made probably in the first two minutes of his meeting with Putin.”
So a lot there, but he clearly believes Putin wants peace. He thinks he’ll get the feel out reading from Putin very quickly, and he doesn’t think Zelensky needs to be there. What do you think?
GENERAL MARK KIMMITT: Well, I think he’s going to be as disappointed in talking to President Putin as the early projections that he made, somewhat of the old George Bush.
Putin’s War Aims Remain Unchanged
GENERAL MARK KIMMITT: I looked into his soul speech. The fact remains the war aspirations of President Putin have not changed. Take over parts of Ukraine, keep them out of NATO, and get rid of Zelensky. At no time have I ever heard President Putin say anything but that.
And correspondingly, with President Zelensky, I’ve heard him say nothing other than, a return of all our lands to include Crimea. Russia pays reparations. So those war aims are so far apart that if we’re able to get even a succession of hostilities for twenty-four to forty-eight hours, I would consider that to be an accomplishment in Alaska, but I don’t think we’re going to see that.
PIERS MORGAN: Well, we have Andre back. Andre, I want to remind you of what General Kimmitt said. Who the hell would want to attack and take over Russia? It’s a dying country, a gas station disguised as a country. It’s going into the trash can, and it doesn’t have enough oil for us to be interested in. Your response, please.
Russia’s Response to Western Criticism
ANDREI AFANASYEV: Well, thank you, General. That was a good joke. I think it was a long time since you’ve been to Russia or to any other country over Soviet Union because in the recent thirty years, a lot of change.
But the fact that you guys all are discussing meeting of President of Russia and President of United States means that Russia is not a trash country that’s running into a trash can, but one of the most powerful countries in the world that is respected and feared. And this is how it is, and it always will be like that. So you need to deal with that.
You need to deal with the fact that Russia is a strong sovereign state with its national interests, and we will defend our interests with all the means we have. And our means are broad and powerful. So that’s it. I hope that the General understood my thoughts.
GENERAL MARK KIMMITT: Oh, my only response is I hear that same speech from the North Korean leader as well.
ANDREI AFANASYEV: Yes. Well and what have you done to North Korea recently? Nothing. We haven’t done anything to it.
GENERAL MARK KIMMITT: That’s a General. Just says we would not do anything to Russia.
ANDREI AFANASYEV: Saying, General, you didn’t manage to do anything to Taliban in Afghanistan. So we are living in a world of declining United States. I respect this country, these people, but we are living in the world of declining unipolar world and globalization. And part of Americans understand it and understand that they have their own business. And other parts still think that the United States is the only global hegemon in the world.
So it just I mean, it’s a matter of choice for you, all of you. But the world has changed a lot, and you need to deal with that. We are not going back. We are defending our interests, our lands, our people no matter what. And for Russia, for the second time, I’m saying this, it’s a matter of survival.
GENERAL MARK KIMMITT: The fact remains is just because you’re defending, which is your sovereign right, doesn’t mean you need to be attacking and taking those sovereign rights away from other people in other lands.
ANDREI AFANASYEV: General, the thing is that people in Crimea and people in Donbas are our people, and that’s not what people in Moscow say. That’s what people of Donbas, Crimea, and other parts of Novorossiya are saying. That’s the point. Checkmate. Next question.
Disputed Territories and Referendums
PIERS MORGAN: Let me bring in Bill Browder. But, Bill, I was going to ask you about what you think Putin’s overarching motivation is here, and we’ll come to that. But on that point that Andre just made, there is a belief that’s been put out there that many people in Crimea, many people in the Donbas, would actually prefer to be Russian. What do you say to that?
BILL BROWDER: I don’t think it’s true at all. I think that’s, in Crimea, when they had the referendum, you had all these soldiers, Russian soldiers go in and hold a referendum where people had a gun literally a gun to their head. And so who’s going to vote against that if they’re going to be shot or imprisoned for wanting to be independent?
I mean, as the General said, people aren’t, it’s not like people from free countries are desperately trying to go to live in Russia in a totalitarian regime. Russians are all desperate to go to the West. They’re leaving Russia and trying to emigrate to free countries and to good countries with good economics and to try to get out of Russia.
A million able-bodied Russian young men left when the war started because they didn’t want to be cannon fodder. It’s the major sanction against Russian oligarchs is that they couldn’t enjoy the West because they like to steal money in Russia and then spend it in Saint Tropez and Sardinia in Italy.
Russia doesn’t have a good offering for people. It’s a totalitarian state. I mean, feel sorry for this individual here. I don’t know what’s motivating him for saying all this stuff, but it certainly isn’t the truth. He’s saying a bunch of propaganda stuff. Maybe he’s being paid or maybe he’s just scared. And I know a lot of people in Russia who have criticized the war and found themselves in prison. You’re not allowed to even say anything about it. If you have a different point of view, you go to jail. How is that a country that anyone would want to live in?
Putin’s True Motivations
PIERS MORGAN: And, Bill, just on that bigger point about the overarching ambitions of Putin, what do you think he really wants?
BILL BROWDER: It’s very clear to me, and I’ve lived in Russia for a long time, and I’ve been at war with Putin on a personal basis for a long time. And I know this individual. I know what he’s motivated by, and he’s been running a kleptocracy in which he and about a thousand other individuals have stolen a trillion dollars from the Russian state.
And you can’t do that in a country with one hundred and forty million people and expect the people to put up with it. And he basically stole too much money. And what he’s worried about now is the people of Russia rising up against him.
And so if you’re a dictator and you’re worried about your people rising up against you, what do you do? You find a foreign enemy and you start a war. And this is straight out of Machiavelli 101, that this war is not about NATO, it’s not about being surrounded, it’s not about expanding any empire. It’s about a little man, Vladimir Putin, who’s desperately scared of his own people, desperately scared of losing power and getting strung up by a in a lamppost.
And the best way of avoiding that is to create a foreign enemy and start a war. And that’s what this war in Ukraine is all about. And that’s why Putin is not going to give up this war. And that’s why another million Russian young men are going to die. And it doesn’t matter what happens in Alaska because Putin doesn’t want to end the war because he understands that the war ends, then he loses his job and he dies. And he doesn’t want to die.
Parallels to Other Leaders
PIERS MORGAN: You know, Dave Smith, in a way, you could paint a similar picture, without the death part about Netanyahu and what’s happening in Israel, that one of the reasons many people believe he continues to prosecute this war in Gaza is for self interest to avoid corruption charges and trial when it’s over to avoid accountability for October the seventh and so on. But in relation to Putin, did you agree with what Bill Browder said there?
DAVE SMITH: No. Not particularly. And yeah, I don’t think that’s, yeah. It applies to Netanyahu. It applies to Vladimir Putin. There’s George W. Bush famously said that his daddy’s big mistake was not keeping the war going for his reelection campaign, and that’s why he was a one term president.
And I just I got to say, Piers, I mean, it’s like I’m just kind of disgusted by the tone of this entire discussion. I mean, it’s like as if we’re debating Sydney Sweeney or something like that, but I got a General and a professional here who are, what are we doing? You’re just trying to insult Vladimir Putin, insult Russia?
It’s like the most childish, immature, just taunting. There’s an actual war going on right now where hundreds of thousands of people have been dying, and there’s a meeting coming up between the two leaders of the United States and Russia. The ninety percent of the world’s stockpile of nuclear weapons. Let’s all take this down a notch.
A Call for Negotiation
DAVE SMITH: There Vladimir Putin has at least signaled recently that he will maybe is open to the idea of keeping the Donbas region, Donetsk and Luhansk, of getting a corridor to Crimea and of leaving some of the other territory? Why are we not all pushing in that direction? And why this constant need to make these insults?
I don’t know. I’m an American. I don’t see why I inherently have to have beef with the Russian people. I think my government is corrupt. I think their government is corrupt. But to sit here and be like, “you guys are a gas station with nothing.” The Russian people have a great culture and a great history.
Obviously, the Soviet Union was a menace, and we had a real problem with them. But the Soviet Union’s been gone for many decades at this point. And I just find that the kind of nature of this just insulting back and forth to be beneath the magnitude of this conversation.
It is undeniable that the West did a lot to provoke this conflict. It’s just undeniable. Our CIA director, through all of Joe Biden’s term, Bill Burns, was the one who wrote the memo, who warned Condoleezza Rice, “do not keep pushing in this direction,” and we continued pushing regardless. It’s resulted in this catastrophe.
Like I said before, Piers, I’m not absolving Vladimir Putin of any responsibility. He launched this war, and he’s responsible for the destruction. But for God’s sake, Piers, you start this at the beginning asking, “but what’s the actual plan?” Like, what’s the military plan for how you can evict the Russians? Nobody here has anything.
So what do you want to do? Let’s try to negotiate an end to this so people stop dying. It is the best case scenario, and it’s our only chance to get out of this at this point is if we can work out some deal. So for God’s sake, let’s try to push toward that.
The Reality of War
DAVE SMITH: You know what? With all of these wars, Piers, you know, my all the wars over the last twenty-five years of my life, it’s always like the propaganda keeps on moving and moving and moving. There’s a lot of bluster about who the good guys and who the bad guys are. But when you start the program by asking a simple question like, “what is the exit strategy here? What is the plan?” No one really has anything.
No one has anything other than maybe we could keep sending weapons and money in, and this slow grind of people dying will continue. And Vladimir Putin will then, at the end of that, take the territory he wants. Let’s try to negotiate an end to this nightmare that never needed to happen.
BILL BROWDER: Yeah. That’s exactly what Neville Chamberlain did.
DAVE SMITH: I’ll come to I’ll shut up. Just the dumbest. Eighty IQ Neville Chamberlain. That’s right. Appease anybody ever arguing against war is always Neville Chamberlain. That is the one and only lesson of history that appeasement never works and aggression is always right. Why don’t you take some of the lessons from—
BILL BROWDER: Doesn’t work with a dictator. You obviously don’t know Vladimir Putin. Appeasement—
DAVE SMITH: We appease dictators all over the planet right now. I just said something that I actually meant that I think was more than just surface level, and your response is with the dumbest slogan. We appease dictators all over the world. We overthrow democratically elected governments and prop up dictators. What are you even talking about?
You’re using all these ad hominem attacks, but basically, we’re in a war.
BILL BROWDER: Ad hominem? What are you talking about? Eighty IQ. That’s a bunch of nonsense.
DAVE SMITH: You’re using all these ad hominem attacks.
BILL BROWDER: I’m saying the argument is that of a person with an eighty IQ. You don’t know the issues. You obviously are not educated on the issues. The reason why Vladimir Putin is at war is for his own personal survival. He’s not going to back off from this war. To then appease him at this moment, to give him Ukraine is just a complete—
DAVE SMITH: You’re not giving him, you’re not giving him anything. It’s not yours to give. He took it, and you can’t get it back. Deal with that reality.
BILL BROWDER: Sorry. You could impose crippling sanctions on him. You could give the Ukrainians away.
The Path Forward: Sanctions, Military Support, and Negotiation Strategy
PIERS MORGAN: They need sanctions. And then you could negotiate from a position of strength. You don’t negotiate from a position of weakness, which is what’s being… There’s Joe Biden’s plan. We could end the war with… You can… You can just… We’re years… You don’t have to call it Joe Biden’s anything.
You don’t have to politicize logic. I’m not politicizing anything. I’m saying this is Biden. You’re saying Joe Biden is not like… Let me respond.
DAVE SMITH: He was the former president of the United States, and this was his plan. We ran this experiment. It did not work. It led to hundreds of thousands of people more dying, and now we’re here. The experiment that we ran is to give the Ukrainians some weapons and not the weapons that they need.
PIERS MORGAN: Fair enough. Can I ask the general a quick question? General, you’re more of an expert in this than me. Sanctions can drive Putin out. Are you going to back that up with your name behind it? Sanctions can reclaim all Ukrainian territory?
Military Expert Assessment on Sanctions and Strategy
GENERAL MARK KIMMITT: No. I mean, I’ve been a disbeliever in the notion of sanctions around the world, whether it’s in Iran, whether it was with the Taliban. But combined with other elements such as military power, diplomatic power, there’s a chance that as a component of a plan, you might get to something where you say nobody’s got a proposal here.
I think what we’re going to see is a frozen conflict. And let’s be very clear. You got a frozen conflict in Kashmir. For years, you had a frozen conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh, now there’s been a resolution to that frozen conflict. And hopefully, we can see at least a ceasefire that can hold off the killing of both brave Ukrainian soldiers and brave Russian soldiers.
I never did insult the Russian people. I insulted the Russian government. The fact is their government has dragged them into a war that if polled, probably wouldn’t poll that well. But back to your point, sanctions probably won’t work if that’s the only trick we have in our bag.
Military power that demonstrates we’re willing to back the Ukrainians for as long as it takes with what they need as well as other elements of national power. That has a chance, number one, to stop the war. Number two, perhaps get it into a ceasefire slash frozen conflict. And number three, over time, perhaps negotiate a settlement that works for both sides. I think that time is now.
PIERS MORGAN: I’m going to give you hopefully what they can do. I agree with you. I hope that it can be done. Anna, final word to you.
Ukrainian Perspective: Why Frozen Conflicts Won’t Work
ANNA FROM UKRAINE: Thank you so much. You know, here in Ukraine, we understand that any frozen conflict will not bring us lasting peace. We were at war with Russia, be it Soviet Union or Russian Empire, for three hundred years. So every time someone says this is a NATO provoked, US provoked conflict, no one in Ukraine buys that.
Another important point I don’t hear others mentioning is that Russia is perhaps the weakest ever at this point, and Vladimir Putin is way more far away from the purposes, the tasks of his special military operation that he was in 2022. He wanted to demilitarize Ukraine. Now we are pre-demilitarized, and also a lot of facilities, military facilities, are built inside Ukraine.
And I hope a time will come when we will use our ballistic missiles without asking permission or getting restrictions on targeting Russian oil refineries, which is super unfair.
Also, back in 2022, Russia controlled not just more of the Ukrainian territory, but actually more of the Russian territory. This war exposed that Putin’s blaze creek failed, and his intelligence perhaps informed him really bad about the attitude inside Ukraine.
Russia’s Weakening Position and Strategic Failures
Then, we demonstrated that Russia has super vulnerable borders, and the intelligence is not working properly. Russia is now literally a no-fly zone. First of all, because of the Ukrainian drones targeting legitimate military facilities and other stuff, and they literally closed their airports. There are explosions, air raid alerts in dozens of the Russian regions. When did it start? After Putin decided he will defend Russia this way. So literally all of his plans collapsed.
And moreover, former satellites of Russia, countries like Armenia, like Kazakhstan, they realized what threats Russia imposes for their sovereignty and independence, and they actually started going away from Russia. That’s exactly what we witness right now. Nobody from the former Soviet countries that Putin can consider as the future zones for his attacks consider him strong enough.
And right now, they are actually for other alliances and unions because Russia has already lost the control over Syria. Russia did not manage to help Iran. Russia has serious problems with oil refineries. Don’t think they want to protect them? But every night we have them exploding with inexpensive, inside Ukraine developed drones.
Ukraine’s Growing Strength vs. Russia’s Decline
And I do agree when many of you compare this moment and this meeting to a meeting between Chamberlain and Hitler, with one very, very important difference. Ukraine is no more Czechoslovakia in 1938. During this three and a half years, we became way stronger.
And despite Russian propaganda, during this year and a half of summer offensive, Russia managed to get one percent of the Ukrainian territory and lose how many hundreds and thousands of Russians. And trust me, the presence of North Korean soldiers on the front lines is not a sign of success. The fact that up to sixty percent of missiles they now target on Ukraine is not from North Korea is not a sign of strength.
PIERS MORGAN: Anna, thank you very much indeed. We lost Andrei. I don’t know whether he left voluntarily or through tech issues, but he departed. Thank you to my panel. An excellent debate, and it’s going to be a fascinating summit. I suspect Trump’s right. We’ll know in the first two minutes the way it’s going to go, but I will look forward to it with hope. Hope in my heart that this horrible war can come to an end sooner rather later. Thank you all very much.
Related Posts
- President Trump Remarks to Fort Bragg Military Families (Transcript)
- China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi Remarks @ MSC 2026 (Transcript)
- Barack Obama on Trump’s Ape Video, Bad Bunny, And 2028 Election (Transcript)
- Transcript: Marco Rubio Remarks at MSC 2026
- Prof. John Mearsheimer: Political Pressure and Trump’s Peace Options (Transcript)
