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Home » Transcript of Why Ukraine’s Drone Attack on Russia Changes War Forever: Ian Bremmer

Transcript of Why Ukraine’s Drone Attack on Russia Changes War Forever: Ian Bremmer

Here is the full transcript of Political scientist Ian Bremmer in conversation with TED’s Helen Walters on the topic titled “Why Ukraine’s Drone Attack on Russia Changes War Forever”, which was recorded on June 2, 2025.

Listen to the audio version here:

The Astonishing Drone Raid

HELEN WALTERS: Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining. It is Monday, June 2, the day after Ukraine unleashed an astonishing drone raid deep inside Russia and in doing so, essentially rewrote the rules of war. I’m Helen Walters. I am the head of media and curation at TED, and I am joined to make sense of it all by Eurasia Group founder Ian Bremmer. Ian, thank you so much for joining us.

IAN BREMMER: Helen, such a pleasure to be with you again.

HELEN WALTERS: Here we are. Okay, so much is still emerging about what took place, but here’s what I think we know. In an operation codenamed Spiderweb, Ukraine launched a bunch of drones off trucks which took out 41 of Russia’s most strategic military planes. The Economist called it Ukraine’s most audacious operation on Russian territory to date. So tell us, what do we really need to know about what happened here?

David vs. Goliath: The Unprecedented Strike

IAN BREMMER: Well, we don’t know exactly how many planes were taken out. The Ukrainians claim 41. They, as antagonists in both sides of wars, always tend to maximize the numeric exploits. So we can confirm probably almost half of that number. It’ll probably go up. We’ll see. But the point remains the same. In three and a half years now of this brutal war, this is by far the most spectacular strike that has been seen by either side.

This is David versus Goliath and Little Ukraine proves that they have the ability with drones that cost between 300 and $400 and only a couple hundred of them are able to take out individual strategic nuclear bombers that cost over $100 million for the Russians to build. And by the way, which they don’t have the military capability to build today. So we’ve never seen an asymmetric strike like this be pulled off against a major nuclear power. It’s never happened.

And there are, I think, big implications. There are big implications for war fighting going forward. There’s big implications for Putin and what he decides to do and how he responds. The future of the Russia, Ukraine war. There’s big implications for the United States and the role that President Trump is or is not going to play as a consequence. And it is essential, I think, to get deep under the hood around all of those things and not just rely on the, oh, my God, look at what just happened of the headlines.

How Ukraine Pulled Off the Operation

HELEN WALTERS: I think the phrase asymmetric warfare is really key for us to understand here, as you say. So I was reading that this operation took about a year and a half to plan. It was obviously extremely daring. But as we do try to understand the implications of what happened here. How do you think Ukraine actually managed to pull this off, playing, as you say, the David role in this David versus Goliath story?

IAN BREMMER: The Ukrainians have been working to develop their own homemade military capabilities. I mean, you see how much Europe is now saying we need to move to 3 to 4 to even 5% of GDP spend on defense. It’s not existential for them. This is the only thing that matters. For Ukrainians, it matters more than eating well, it matters more than educating your kids and it’s whether or not your country and therefore you have a future after the Russians invaded.

And so they’re putting everything they can into building military capabilities. And they don’t have as many people and they don’t have as much money, but they are better educated and they also have access to a very capable global Ukrainian diaspora. And I’ve met many young Ukrainian, ethnically Ukrainian technologists from Silicon Valley, from Canada, from Europe, who have worked with the Ukrainian military virtually and many who have traveled to Ukraine and resettled in Ukraine to help them there.

And that in addition to some of the money that’s been provided by Europe and the United States has helped the Ukrainians to build a world class, perhaps Israel would be also, you know, probably one or two, one of the best drone capabilities, military drone capabilities in the world. And that is exactly what just happened.

They hid these drones in the top of containers that were brought into Russia on trucks. Those containers were then sent all over Russia, some of which were very deep inside Russia. And then all at once in one day, or at least the ones that we’ve now seen, maybe there are more that are still in hiding. They were ordered, directed to be deployed against Russian military bases and other infrastructure.

And I mean this is not just close to the Russian front lines with Ukraine. I mean there was a military base that is on the Mongolian border. We’re talking thousands and thousands of miles away from the Ukrainian front. And they were able to destroy advanced Russian strategic bombers in that base. That is, it’s unprecedented.

It reminds me a bit of what we saw with Israel and Lebanon and Hezbollah, because Hezbollah we had for many years always been saying this is the most powerful non state armed forces in the world. And that Israel had to be very careful not to get involved in a war with them because it would be incredibly dangerous for Israel’s own national security. And then over a matter of days we find out that Israel has decapitated their leadership completely, taken out their communications systems and destroyed their military infrastructure, critically weakening Iran’s geopolitical position in the Middle east as a consequence, and leading to what is now the most progress that Trump has had in any diplomatic effort around the world, U.S.