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Home » Transcript: Ukraine Peace Plan, No Territory Decision – Col Doug Macgregor

Transcript: Ukraine Peace Plan, No Territory Decision – Col Doug Macgregor

In this episode of Daniel Davis / Deep Dive Podcast, streamed live December 16, 2025, Lt. Col. Daniel Davis sits down with Col. Douglas Macgregor to dissect the latest U.S.-backed “peace plan” for Ukraine, arguing it’s like “apple pie with no apples” because it pointedly refuses to address the core issue of territory.

Macgregor explains why any proposal that insists Russia receive “no territorial concessions” is designed to fail, given Moscow’s military position on the ground and its stated war aims since 2022. The two veterans walk through Zelensky’s 20‑point framework, Russia’s counter‑terms, and the quiet push in Washington and European capitals for security guarantees that keep the war frozen rather than truly settled. They warn that Western leaders are still managing optics instead of reality, risking a longer, bloodier conflict for Ukraine while pretending that diplomacy is moving toward genuine peace.

The Illusion of Progress

DANIEL DAVIS: Peace in the Russia-Ukraine war is at hand. We are now close. Just 90% of the way is done, only 10% left. And we… No, I’m kidding. That’s what people are saying out loud. But there’s no truth to it.

And if anybody’s getting excited about it, as soon as we start listening to what people are actually saying on all sides of this—on the Ukraine side, the European side, the American side, the Russian side—you’ll see that, yeah, actually we’re not anywhere closer to an end to this war.

And it looks to me like a lot in the West, especially Europe and Zelensky, do not want this to go to a peace, at least on the terms being offered by Russia. Trying to help us make sense out of this, we have back one of our ever popular guests, Colonel Douglas Macgregor, defense and foreign policy analyst and former advisor to the Secretary of Defense and highly decorated combat veteran. Doug, as always, welcome back to the show.

DOUGLAS MACGREGOR: Well, using the word “sense” probably dignifies this entire event to an extent that it doesn’t deserve. There’s not much sense involved.

DANIEL DAVIS: No, no, there’s definitely not. Lots of words though. And I just kind of want your thought because yesterday afternoon around 3 or 4 p.m. Washington D.C. time yesterday, a lot of words coming out of Berlin.

Chancellor Scholz was one of the leading ones where he had a press conference with Zelensky there and he’s saying, “Yeah, I’m very, very optimistic and confident, hopeful that we are nearly there, we’re almost to the end where we have an agreement to where we can end this war.” What do you say to that?

Public Relations Over Substance

DOUGLAS MACGREGOR: These are public relations offensives designed to create the illusion that the governments in the West, specifically Berlin, Paris and London, are actually engaged in useful work and diplomacy. They’re not. So this is all meaningless hot air. I wish it were more, but it’s not.

And again, nothing that they talk about, nothing they mentioned really addresses fundamentally the original plans and proposals submitted by the Russians. Again, the Russians have never looked for some sort of interim solution or short-term ceasefire. They’ve always been interested in a new architecture for security in Europe that would provide greater security not only for themselves but for everybody.

And there’s never been any willingness whatsoever to arrive at such an outcome. Now, I don’t know why. To some extent I’ve begun to think that no one in Europe or in the United States is capable of thinking much beyond the next quarter. You know, that’s our way of life in this country. Three or four months. What do we do then?

The Russians are looking for an organizational construct for peace that will provide stability and conditions for prosperity that will last for decades. So the two really aren’t talking to each other. So whatever they said is entertainment for the West, but is otherwise completely meaningless.

DANIEL DAVIS: Unfortunately, it’s hard to argue with that. I mean, even without looking at some of the specific statements, just given the history of the last four years and the destruction of diplomacy that the West has been engaged in for the duration of this, it’s not surprising.

But let’s get into some of the details here, because this was from Britain yesterday. Mark Galeotti was talking about two of the thorny issues that actually do remain. We also had the statement that said that 90% of the issues have been sorted, which may well be true, but the 10% that remains are very thorny ones.

But the interesting thing is that really, if one thinks about it, the crucial ones, which looked as if they could derail the process, were security guarantees for Ukraine and the territorial issue. In other words, Putin’s demand that Ukraine surrender portions, unconquered portions of Donetsk region.

Now the Europeans are saying that they’ve now sort of sketched out security guarantees. We have no idea, though, if those will be acceptable to Putin. And there’s no sense yet that Zelensky is willing to give up that strategically crucial territory.

So I still feel that we got two crucial issues that aren’t being sorted yet, but everything else is working out, and the atmospherics are very positive, so we can always cross our fingers and hope.

I think his last comment there about the atmospherics are working out—I mean, that almost directly confirms what you just said there. This is about political theater, and this is about the illusion of progress, but not actual progress, because I think he’s right, Doug. I think those two issues are two of the most difficult ones.

And let’s look at them in order. First of all, these security guarantees, do you actually see a chance that Europe and the United States will actually provide Article 5-like security guarantees, which is the claim?

The Security Guarantee Fantasy

DOUGLAS MACGREGOR: No. And the notion that we in the United States, or for that matter, any of the European powers, can provide some sort of permanent guarantee to the Ukrainians that in the event they find themselves at odds with the Russians or anybody else, we will all instantly ride to their rescue?