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Seyed M. Marandi: Iran Strikes Ships as the U.S. Tests Iran’s Control Over the Strait of Hormuz (Transcript)

Read the full transcript of Professor Seyed Mohammad Marandi’s interview on Greater Eurasia Podcast, July 7, 2026.

Editor’s Note: In this interview, host Glenn Diesen sits down with Professor Seyed Mohammad Marandi, a former advisor to Iran’s nuclear negotiation team, to analyze the escalating tensions in the Middle East. The conversation covers critical geopolitical issues, including the ongoing conflicts in Lebanon and Gaza, U.S. efforts to renegotiate the Memorandum of Understanding, and the potential for shifting diplomatic ties between Iran, Turkey, and other Arab states. Providing deep insight into Iranian foreign policy, the discussion offers a timely perspective on the stability of the region amidst these complex developments.

INTRODUCTION

GLENN DIESEN: Welcome back. Today we are joined by Professor Seyed Mohammad Marandi, a professor at Tehran University and a former advisor to Iran’s nuclear negotiation team. So thank you for coming back on.

SEYED MOHAMMAD MARANDI: Thank you, Glenn. It’s always a great pleasure being on your show.

The Situation in Lebanon and Iran’s Red Lines

GLENN DIESEN: So I’ve been wanting to ask you how the relations between Iran, the Arab countries, and Turkey could change after this war. However, I first wanted to ask about Lebanon because we see that the killing still continues in Lebanon in violation of the Memorandum of Understanding. It’s unclear to me if this is a sequencing strategy, that is to knock out Hezbollah while the US is in talks with Iran. I was wondering, how do you see the development in Lebanon and how long do you think Iran will sit on the sideline? And yeah, what could trigger Iran’s direct involvement in this conflict?

SEYED MOHAMMAD MARANDI: Well, actually, as far as I know, the Israeli regime hasn’t been able to murder any members of Hezbollah. Yesterday, they murdered a family, a woman who was the principal of a school and her husband and their maid, which is part of the Israeli tradition of just killing ordinary people all the time. And as we all see every day, they’re murdering Palestinians in Gaza. Yesterday, they murdered a large number of people, even though there’s a supposed ceasefire. No one in the West, in Western mainstream legacy media, or among diplomats and the elite seems to care.

So on the whole, the ceasefire in Lebanon is still in place. Though murdering 3 people is a big deal. But on the different fronts, it’s been somewhat quiet, but they’ve been violating the agreement, not just by murdering these 3 innocent people, but also by bombing different areas. But still, it’s a lot less than what we saw before.

Iran is going to continue to put pressure on the United States. And Iran will not negotiate the nuclear program at all, which is a part of the second phase of the MOU, until the issue in Lebanon is resolved. And we saw last night two tankers struck in the Strait of Hormuz. That is a part of Iran’s — although Iran hasn’t accepted responsibility, but of course, we know it was Iran. But the Iranians are going to put pressure on the United States, continue to put pressure on Trump, until the issue in Lebanon is resolved.

Iran’s Three Levers of Leverage

SEYED MOHAMMAD MARANDI: So Iran has 3 means of immense leverage. One is the nuclear program. Trump wants a deal. There won’t be a deal unless Lebanon is resolved. And of course, the other issues as well, but Lebanon first and foremost, like Iran’s assets that were stolen and were supposed to be handed over.

The second is the Strait of Hormuz. The number of ships that pass through are much smaller than what we saw 4 or 5 months ago. And Iran is supposed to normalize the number of ships that pass through the strait in the second month of the MOU. If the United States doesn’t abide by its commitments, there’s no reason why Iran should do that. Now there’s a disproportionate number of tankers that go through the strait compared to other ships, but still the number of ships that go through are roughly 2/5 to 1/3 of what they were 4 or 5 months ago. Iran has that leverage too, the nuclear program and the Strait of Hormuz.

And Iran has been using the ceasefire and the MOU to prepare itself for war. There were lots of Iranian tankers in the Persian Gulf which were trapped. And then as soon as the MOU was signed, all these tankers left for their markets in Asia. And ships have been moving, going to Iranian ports. So Iran has been preparing itself, militarily and Iranian society, for further confrontation. Not that we want confrontation, but it’s Trump and it’s Netanyahu, so Iran has to be prepared for war.

So Iran is more prepared for war today, militarily speaking, than it was at the beginning of the war. It’s manufacturing new missiles, more advanced missiles, more advanced drones, expanding its underground network of missile and drone cities, command and control centers, and so on, incorporating new technologies into the armed forces.

The Funeral and Popular Legitimacy of the Islamic Republic

SEYED MOHAMMAD MARANDI: And then of course, we have today the ongoing funeral, which we saw yesterday too, that well over 10 million people attended yesterday, the largest funeral in human history, which is ongoing today in the city of Qom. You have a couple of million people there. It shows the high degree of popular legitimacy of the Islamic Republic. No one can deny it anymore. For the first time, this crowd is being somewhat acknowledged in the West for what it really is and what it means.

I would claim that Iran has much more popular legitimacy than Western regimes do. And the evidence is in front of us. In the heat of summer, at a time when the country has been under economic siege for decades, it has just gone through two wars of aggression, its infrastructure damaged, and a siege on Iranian ports — it’s hurt the economy significantly.