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Home » Jiang Xueqin: The Iran War: The Watershed Moment That Changed the Middle East Forever (Transcript)

Jiang Xueqin: The Iran War: The Watershed Moment That Changed the Middle East Forever (Transcript)

Editor’s Notes: In this episode of Dialogue Works, host Nima Alkhorshid sits down with Professor Jiang Xueqin to analyze the escalating conflict between the United States and Iran, which Xueqin frames as a watershed moment in global history. The discussion delves into the potential for a devastating ground invasion and how such an escalation could draw in major world powers like Russia, China, and Japan. Xueqin also explores the concept of “Greater Israel,” the fragility of current Middle Eastern nation-states, and the deeper spiritual and “eschatological” motivations he believes are driving modern warfare. (March 7, 2026) 

TRANSCRIPT:

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Hi, everybody. Today’s Saturday, March 7, 2026, and our new friend Professor Jiang is here with us. Welcome, Professor.

PROFESSOR JIANG XUEQIN: Hi, Nima.

NIMA ALKHORSHID: It’s the first time you are in this podcast. I know that many of our audience know you from your videos on YouTube, these amazing lectures that I got familiar with recently. I was amazed with the information, with the wisdom in those videos, and how you connect the historical facts to what is going on right now and what would happen in the future, considering all this history.

And Jiang, what is happening right now in the aftermath of that devastating war in Ukraine, which literally destroyed Ukraine? And right now we have a new war in the Middle East. This is not a war between the United States and Iraq or Afghanistan. They didn’t have that much power to fight back. This is Iran. That’s somehow different in terms of the size of the country, size of the population. Their military power is different. What is your understanding of what’s going on in the Middle East?

We Are in World War Three

PROFESSOR JIANG XUEQIN: Right, so we are in World War Three right now. It’s only been a week. But this war between the United States and Iran can only escalate over time.

So today there are rumors circulating online that the 82nd Airborne Division of the United States Army has been given deployment orders. They’ve stopped training exercises, and it is possible they’ll be deployed to the Middle East very soon, possibly within the next few days.

The use of ground troops against Iran would mark a massive escalation. Right now, it’s mainly an air war where the United States and Israel have air supremacy, meaning that they can strike at will against Iran. And because the costs are limited, even though America and Israel are suffering casualties, it isn’t that many casualties. They’re trying to avoid as many casualties as possible. And so they can theoretically retreat from this war.

But the moment that ground troops go into Iran, then it is impossible to retreat and this war can only escalate. So a massive turning point in this conflict will be the use of ground troops. If ground troops are used, then we are in World War Three and this will mark the end of the world as we know it.

A ground war would also most likely draw in other actors as well. It may draw in the GCC, it may draw in the Europeans, it will definitely draw in Russia. It may even draw in China, and it may also draw in South Korea and Japan as well. Because remember, the Strait of Hormuz supplies most of the oil to the Asian economies of Pakistan, India, Japan, South Korea and China. In fact, the Strait of Hormuz provides about 75% of all of Japan’s oil needs.

And the Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi has said that if this war continues and the Strait of Hormuz continues to be closed, then Japan will run out of oil in about eight months time. So we can imagine that there is panic within the Japanese cabinet and they are actually preparing to intervene somehow in this conflict, whether it’s diplomatically, whether it’s economically, or even militarily. South Korea may also need to come in as well.

So the Strait of Hormuz really is the nexus of the world. It is the center of all global trade. And if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed because of this war, then eventually it will draw in the entire world.

The Connection Between Ukraine and the Iran War

You mentioned the war in Ukraine previously. And from a geopolitical perspective, this war in Iran is actually what follows naturally from the war in Ukraine. Because from a geopolitical perspective, Russia, if it were to win the war in Ukraine, it would have control over one third of the world’s carbohydrates. Russia, if it wanted to, could starve the Middle East and could starve Africa. Ukraine is the breadbasket of Europe. Without Ukrainian energy and food and Russian energy, the Europeans are suffering economically.

And so if Europe is to survive, then it needs its energy from the Middle East. And so what America is trying to do is trying to control the Middle East by strangling Iran to death. And so in many ways, this war in Iran is a response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Russia has complete battlefield dominance in Ukraine. This war in Ukraine is essentially lost. And so if America is able to win this war in Iran, it will now control the energy supplies of the Middle East. It will control all the trade in the world.

There’s a dream of a Eurasian heartland, a grand alliance between Russia, Iran and China. Iran is the pivot point. So if Iran were to collapse, then America would still be able to control global trade. The petrodollar would still be the dominant currency of the world. And so this is really a struggle of life and death for the American empire. And that’s why in many ways America has no choice now but to go all in and send ground troops.

Greater Israel and the Control of Oil

NIMA ALKHORSHID: I think the whole big picture of the region is of importance. I know that you have been talking about the state of Israel and the agenda of the United States with the state of Israel.