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Home » Transcript: ‘Heading For A Global DEPRESSION!’ Professor Jiang on Piers Morgan Uncensored

Transcript: ‘Heading For A Global DEPRESSION!’ Professor Jiang on Piers Morgan Uncensored

Editor’s Notes: In this episode of Piers Morgan Uncensored, host Piers Morgan leads a high-stakes debate on whether the world is barreling toward a global depression following the escalation of conflict with Iran. The panel features economics professor Steve Keen, former Trump adviser Steve Moore, and game theorist Professor Jiang, who clash over the economic fallout of the Strait of Hormuz closure and the “drill baby drill” strategy. The discussion spans a wide range of critical issues, including the future of Bitcoin, China’s rising manufacturing resilience, and the potential for a technological revolution to offset global instability. (May 5, 2026)

TRANSCRIPT:

Introduction: The Strait of Hormuz Crisis

PIERS MORGAN: “This is a serious warning,” announced the IRGC after firing at a US warship. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed.

The hundred mile choke point along Iran’s southern border has become the regime’s most powerful weapon. Clearly, the United States has no military solution for opening it. And while President Trump may boast that the US doesn’t need the strait, rocketing gas prices and spiking inflation say otherwise. Recent polls show that voters now trust Democrats more than Republicans on the economy for the first time in sixteen years. The fact is that oil trades on a global market.

That means Americans will pay the price just like the rest of us. And while the White House has promised immediate relief as soon as the strait reopens, most experts say that economic chaos will reign for months or worse.

Welcome and Opening Remarks

PIERS MORGAN: So how bad could it all get? Well, one of my guests today is warning of everything from recession to famine. Joining me to debate is the economics professor and commentator Steve Keen, former economics adviser to President Trump, Stephen Moore, and returning to Uncensored, the game theorist, Professor Jiang. Well, welcome to all three of you. Steve Keen, welcome to Uncensored. What is going on here economically?

We keep being told this is the worst stress on the global economy through energy that we’ve ever seen. Is that right? And how much worse could it get?

Steve Keen on the Scale of Economic Destruction

STEVE KEEN: Well, it’s right. And every measure I’ve seen said it’s larger than 1973 with the Yom Kippur War, larger than the price rise in 1979 when prices increased by a factor of four. And it’s basically destruction of a large part of the planet’s infrastructure for dragging oil out of the ground. And everything else gets along with oil. So it’s not just oil that’s being destroyed. It’s something like about thirty percent of the world’s helium supply. It’s something of the thirty percent to fifty percent of fertilizer. Half of the sulfuric acid we use for industrial processes is gone. This is going to cause a monumental shock to the production system of the entire planet.

PIERS MORGAN: The markets so far have been remarkably resilient, given how stressed this has all been. Why is that? And are we going to wake up, as some predict — I think you’d be one of them — is there going to be a massive backlash to all this in terms of a potential recession, do you think?

STEVE KEEN: Yes, I do. And I’m just smiling because I remember listening to George Soros once explain his approach to how he made money out of the markets. And he says, “Forget the efficient markets hypothesis. That’s a lot of nonsense.” What the markets actually do is they underreact in the first place and then overreact later. So he’d pick something where there was going to be an underreaction, like, for example, what’s going to happen to the British pound back in the days of fixed exchange rates. And he’d say he’d buy them at that stage and know that they’re up or down, take a put or a call position, know that the market’s going to come up to his position later and make a killing.

Now, that’s what’s happening right now. I spoke with five people who are financial markets experts in a Twitter forum some couple of weeks back. And I finally got bored and left the damn thing, because not one of them talked anything about the physical manufacturing processes behind what’s happening in the strait. And when you destroy helium production, when you destroy fertilizer throughput, when you lock all those resources up, the production system has to fall over. So this is going to be a financial crisis caused by damage to the production system, which is the opposite of the usual situation. The financial system screws the manufacturing system.

Stephen Moore on Trump’s Economic Gamble

PIERS MORGAN: Stephen Moore, welcome to Uncensored.

STEPHEN MOORE: Thank you.

PIERS MORGAN: You’ve been very supportive of Trump economics, Trumponomics as some people call it. It struck me that this was always a massive gamble by President Trump and that the potential downside was big. And it’s turned out to be very big so far, with very little at the moment — I would say little tangible upside — in terms of concessions from the Iranians, because they realized that by strangling and controlling the Strait of Hormuz, coupled with their strategy of attacking their neighbors, their Gulf state neighbors, that two pronged strategy can be very effective in damaging the economy, both for the Gulf states and for the global economy with the strait. How bullish are you about what is going on here if this carries on for a few weeks or months?

STEPHEN MOORE: Well, I certainly agree that, look, energy is the master resource. Everything that we have is derivative of energy. And so when you see the price of oil go up to as high as one hundred and ten dollars a barrel from — it was at almost half that level at the beginning of the year. Remember, at the beginning of the year, thanks in part to Trump’s Drill Baby Drill strategy, we had the lowest gas prices in fifty years adjusted for inflation.