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Home » Professor Jiang’s Interview on Jack Neel Podcast (Transcript)

Professor Jiang’s Interview on Jack Neel Podcast (Transcript)

Editor’s Notes: In this episode of the Jack Neel Podcast, high school history teacher and geopolitical forecaster Professor Jiang joins the show to break down his provocative predictions for the future of global power. He explores why he believes the United States is destined to lose a conflict with Iran, citing critical vulnerabilities in manufacturing capacity and domestic political will. The conversation dives deep into a potential 2027 global economic collapse and the rise of a new world order driven by transnational capital. Ultimately, Jiang challenges listeners to look past objective reality to see how elite systems are maneuvering toward a radical “reset” of the American empire. (April 11, 2026) 

TRANSCRIPT:

Introduction

JACK NEEL: Professor Jiang, welcome to the Jack Neel Podcast.

PROFESSOR JIANG: Thanks, Jack.

JACK NEEL: Professor Jiang, you predicted Trump would win the 2024 election, America would invade Venezuela, and most recently you predicted the war between the US and Iran. Before we understand how you’re able to seemingly predict the future, why do you think the US will lose the war with Iran?

America’s Three Major Military Vulnerabilities

PROFESSOR JIANG: So I think right now there are 3 major vulnerabilities of the American military, and I’ll just go one by one. The first is political will, the lack of political will, meaning that the American population is not supportive of this war. Close to 80% of Americans oppose a first strike against Iran, and only about 40% of Americans today still support the military operation against Iran. So that’s the first issue.

Second issue is the lack of manufacturing capacity. So to fight a modern war, you need to produce a lot of munitions, a lot of missiles, a lot of tanks. And unfortunately, what America chose to do was offshore its manufacturing capacity, its factories to China. And so that’s been a major constraint on America’s capacity to sustain this war as it drags on. So that’s number 2.

Number 3 is that America’s not willing to sustain casualties because it looks bad on TV. And already people are not supportive of this war. So if Americans start arriving back home in body bags, then you can imagine major protests across the nation. So these are the 3 major constraints on the American military.

What I will do now is explain to you why each is problematic. So the first is the idea of political will. And the reason why political will is important is that in order to win a modern warfare, you have to move towards something called total war. And what total war is, you structure your entire society to winning the war. Your industry, your culture, your political system all have to be focused on doing whatever it takes to winning the war.

So last time America fought a total war was of course World War II and possibly the Korean War. But World War II is a classic example when the entire American industrial base shifted from making cars to making tanks. And that’s what you have to do in order to win, because wars take a long time, they take a lot of resources, your entire population has to be behind it.

And unfortunately, Americans grew up watching the Persian Gulf War, 1991, and then the 2003 Iraq War. And these were quick, simple wars that demonstrated America’s technological supremacy. It was like a video game. And so the American population is sort of spoiled. It’s become indifferent to war and believe that, okay, it’s going to cost us a lot of money. And it’s not moral, and it’s terrible that these civilians overseas are going to die, but it’s not really our problem. So in other words, I doubt whether or not the American population is willing to make the sacrifices necessary in order to win this war.

The Aura of Invincibility

JACK NEEL: Is this the concept of the aura of invincibility that America has?

PROFESSOR JIANG: Right. So the idea of the aura of invincibility is how America projects power. So America doesn’t want to fight a war. America just wants to scare people. And so the way that America has fought wars these past 20 years is using 3 pillars.

These 3 pillars are aerial supremacy. So Americans don’t send in ground troops. They just attack from the air. And you can’t really do regime change from the air. You have to do it from the ground. So the way they compensate for this is by using proxies. So you look at the wars in Libya and Syria where these rebel groups, these insurgents were supported by American air power. That’s number one.

Number two is using propaganda. So controlling the media narrative through New York Times, through the CNN, through social media, trying to give the illusion that this war is just, this war can be won really quickly, and there will be no consequences to this war.

And the third is the US dollar, which is that the Americans have the world reserve currency, therefore they can bribe anyone and everyone to do their bidding. So you look at the wars in Syria and Libya where these insurgent groups were funded by CIA operatives with endless cash bags. And these three pillars give the illusion of the aura of invincibility, which is America cannot be defeated.

The problem is that it’s just an illusion. It’s just theater. So when you run up against an enemy who doesn’t care, who’s like, “I’m going to fight you to the end because I don’t really believe you. And also I’m not afraid to die. And also you’re attacking my home and I’m not going to just surrender my home to you.” Then this illusion shatters. And that’s the problem in Iran right now.

And so when this illusion shatters, then you have to move towards total war, which is, okay, now I have to commit my resources to actually winning this war. And unfortunately, Americans aren’t willing to do that yet. So the classic litmus test is gas prices. How much are Americans willing to pay for gas prices?