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Home » Chas Freeman: All-Out War With Iran & Dark Future for Israel (Transcript)

Chas Freeman: All-Out War With Iran & Dark Future for Israel (Transcript)

Read the full transcript of former ambassador Chas Freeman’s interview on Greater Eurasia Podcast, July 13, 2026.

Editor’s Note: In this insightful interview, former U.S. Ambassador Chas Freeman joins Glenn Diesen to analyze the deteriorating situation in the Middle East and the escalating conflict between the United States and Iran. Freeman provides a critical perspective on the breakdown of diplomatic efforts regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the limitations of U.S. strategic objectives in the region, and the growing isolation of Israel. The discussion offers a deep dive into the shifting geopolitical landscape, highlighting how regional powers are increasingly seeking strategic autonomy as the influence of traditional Western patronage wanes.

Introduction

GLENN DIESEN: Welcome back. The great Ambassador Chas Freeman joins us, who held key roles such as the US Ambassador to Saudi Arabia and Assistant Secretary of Defense. So thank you for coming back on. As always, it’s a great privilege.

CHAS FREEMAN: Always a pleasure, Glenn.

The Strait of Hormuz and the Breakdown of the Ceasefire Framework

GLENN DIESEN: So I just saw a few minutes ago that Trump posted on Truth Social that the Strait of Hormuz is now open and the US will reinstate its blockade on Iranian ships in the Strait of Hormuz. And he said, from now on, the US will be known as the guardian of the Hormuz Strait, which was an interesting—

CHAS FREEMAN: It’s very entertaining, really.

GLENN DIESEN: Yeah, he’s got the entertainment value. But what does this mean? I mean, why is the US going back to war with Iran now? What happened, in your view?

CHAS FREEMAN: Well, I think it’s fairly simple. Iran did achieve control of the Strait of Hormuz. The United States basically reinforced that with the blockade. The Memorandum of Misunderstanding that was signed acknowledged that Iran had control of the strait in effect and put the burden on Iran to arrange for its opening to traffic by ships for a period of 60 days, during which the two sides would negotiate on various issues — Lebanon, ceasefire, the release of some blocked Iranian assets, and eventually the nuclear program and some understanding on that.

So this was a framework for a negotiation, which immediately broke down because it turned out that the United States was not reconciled to Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz and immediately began to try to open a second route, not under Iranian control, off the coast of Oman, which is relatively shallow water. They began to sneak ships through on that route with their transponders turned off, so they were dark to the Iranians.

The Iranians responded by reasserting control, namely firing at the ships to tell them that they could not go through on an unapproved route. That led to American reprisals against Iran, which went on and are still going on. The entire Memorandum of Understanding has broken down. There have been no negotiations. We’re 3 weeks into the 60-day period. Not a single thing has been achieved. The entire process has broken down.

So where we are really, Glenn, I think is in a pattern that is going to persist. That is to say, the United States, for as long as it can, and Israel will continue to contest Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran will continue to assert that control. We will have periodic exchanges of fire. At some point there will be an escalation. I would expect the Iranians at some point to oblige the Israelis, who very much want to be part of the American war on Iran, by attacking Israel again. For the time being, they’re not doing that, I think mainly because they understand that it would please Prime Minister Netanyahu if they were brought back into the war in some manner.

In the meantime, however, they are attacking what remains of US bases in the region, in Kuwait and Bahrain and in Jordan. And aiming at — not apparently the United Arab Emirates, not Qatar anymore. They did attack one Qatar on the airbase at Al Udeid, which apparently had been partially reconstituted after having been attacked earlier. That’s in Qatar near the Saudi border. But they also focused in all these locations on radars, support equipment, and ammunition dumps. In the case of Kuwait, they claim they knocked out some long-range howitzers, HIMARS, as well.

So both sides are trying to attrit the ability of the other to conduct reprisals, to engage in warfare. And in this contest, Iran very definitely has the upper hand. First of all, it is on its own home ground. It is not projecting force 9,000 miles away from its homeland. So it has an innate ability to outlast the United States. Second, it’s in far better condition in terms of the depletion of its weaponry.

It doesn’t have a capability to intercept American missiles and bombs. It just has to take that punishment. On the American side, it takes a lot longer to build a missile interceptor of one sort or another — 2 or more years — than it does for the Iranians to build missiles. So they’re actually increasing their supply of missiles and drones while the US is depleting its. And the depletion of these weapons on the part of the United States weakens the United States in every other theater, whether it’s the European theater with supplies via European buyers for Ukraine, or whether it’s some Taiwan contingency in Pacific Asia.

The final note I would make is that the clock is ticking. Oil supplies are being drawn down. They’re not being replenished at an adequate rate. And we are up against, particularly, a shortage of sour crude in the United States, which will lead to the halt in production of both jet fuel and diesel fuel, which will cripple our domestic transportation system.

Donald Trump has opted for the continuation of the war he foolishly began with Israel.