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Home » Douglas Macgregor: Iran War Destroyed NATO, Gulf States, Israel & U.S. Empire (Transcript)

Douglas Macgregor: Iran War Destroyed NATO, Gulf States, Israel & U.S. Empire (Transcript)

Editor’s Notes: In this detailed discussion, Colonel Douglas Macgregor joins Glenn Diesen to provide a critical assessment of the ongoing conflict with Iran and its broader geopolitical consequences. Macgregor challenges official claims of a quick military victory, arguing instead that the war has destabilized the U.S. empire, fractured the NATO alliance, and placed Israel in an increasingly vulnerable position. The conversation also explores the severe economic fallout, including the near-total shutdown of trade through the Strait of Hormuz and the potential shift away from the U.S. dollar toward a gold-backed currency. Ultimately, Macgregor suggests that the strategic initiative now lies with Iran, leaving Washington with difficult choices regarding its future presence in the Persian Gulf. (April 2, 2026)

TRANSCRIPT:

Introduction

GLENN DIESEN: Welcome back. We are joined today by Colonel Douglas Macgregor, decorated combat veteran, author, and a former advisor to the US Secretary of Defense. As always, thank you very much for taking the time.

DOUGLAS MACGREGOR: Well, happy to be here.

Mixed Messages from Trump and the State of the War

GLENN DIESEN: So we’re getting some mixed messages from President Trump. That is the—

DOUGLAS MACGREGOR: That’s a big change.

GLENN DIESEN: Well, no, yes, good point. Well, we heard here that the US already won the war, but if the Iranians don’t agree to a ceasefire, they will destroy all of the infrastructure in Iran if they don’t open the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, he also argues that the US is ready to leave and the Strait of Hormuz should be the problem of the Europeans and the regional states.

So how are you assessing the state in this war? Because I understand there’s a lot of different audiences to communicate to, and one wants to put pressure while at the same time have something offered on the table. But how do you make sense of the current position now?

DOUGLAS MACGREGOR: Well, I’m not sure a decision has been made or if it has, he’s not sharing it. I think it’s a very strange set of circumstances. I mean, you have the claim, this incessant drumbeat: “We’ve already won. We destroyed everything that could be destroyed. They’re down to nothing. They can’t keep up, they’re running out of missiles, their back is against the wall,” et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.

Well, if that’s true, why is it that every time he makes some sort of statement along these lines, a wave of missile attacks comes out of Iran — tactical theater, ballistic missiles, drones that do enormous damage to Israel and to, frankly, the Gulf Emirates? I mean, if that’s really the case, why hasn’t Iran already hoisted the white flag?

I think that those claims have to be dismissed up front. What I am hearing from people who are on the inside that I trust is that we have perhaps reduced Iran’s ballistic missile capability from 100% down to perhaps 70%, that their air defense is being very effective against the unmanned surveillance aircraft, selectively against other kinds of aircraft, but has not performed as well as they’d hoped. But they have always been willing to absorb the strikes. They’ve always known that their infrastructure would be brutalized, and they think the payoff is worth the trouble.

So that’s the first thing. Second thing is, if things are going so well and we’ve had so much success with the air and missile campaign, why do we want to introduce ground troops into the equation? That doesn’t seem to make a lot of sense.

The Truth Behind U.S. Claims of Success

So I don’t think you’re getting a truthful assessment from the US side. I think the President is desperate. I think he faces public humiliation inside the United States as well as overseas if he admits the truth.

And when he starts talking about, “Well, maybe I’ll just leave and dump all of this into the laps of Europeans,” we ought to stop and consider a few things. First of all, commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen by about 95 to 97%. 15 million barrels of oil a day have been taken offline. The physical shortages have already hit so hard that right now, Singapore jet fuel is selling at $231 a barrel.

And as long as the war persists, the real people who shut down the Strait of Hormuz — who are not Iranians — they’re sitting in London. They’re called Lloyd’s of London. The insurance brokers aren’t going to insure anything that goes through the strait right now because it’s a war zone. So if you really want to open up the strait, you’ve got to stop the war.

Simply passing an ultimatum to the Iranians and then turning to the Europeans — who were really never consulted on this whole business — neither were the Japanese, neither were the South Koreans. I mean, frankly, we ignored all of our allies and simply acted independently in a way that we decided to act, and it was never really in our interest to do so.

When you turn to a friendly country like India, you discover the Indians are apoplectic. They do $180 billion of business in trade a year with the Emirates. Suddenly that’s gone. And if we continue to destroy infrastructure in Iran, the Iranians have said, “Fine, if you hit our desalination plants, if you hit our oil infrastructure, we’re going to turn around and obliterate everything in the Persian Gulf.”

Military Challenges and the Question of Ground Troops

So what does he plan to do? He wants to land troops on some islands, presumably. Right now, the United States Navy sails 500 to 800 miles away from the Gulf and stays on the move, cutting giant squares in the ocean, because it doesn’t want to be sunk. It doesn’t want its ships on the bottom.

How do you get the troops in there?