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Home » Transcript: Why a Taiwan Invasion Would Trigger Trillions in Global Losses w/ Amb. Alexander Yui

Transcript: Why a Taiwan Invasion Would Trigger Trillions in Global Losses w/ Amb. Alexander Yui

Editor’s Notes: In this episode of American Thought Leaders, Ambassador Alexander Yui, Taiwan’s representative to the United States, explains why any conflict in the Taiwan Strait would trigger a global economic crisis costing trillions of dollars. He highlights Taiwan’s critical role in the global supply chain, noting that the island produces over 90% of the world’s most advanced chips and the servers powering the AI revolution. The discussion also addresses the Chinese Communist Party’s escalating “gray zone” tactics, including cyberattacks and disinformation, aimed at destabilizing Taiwan from within. Ambassador Yui underscores the importance of a “peace through strength” strategy and the growing economic and technological partnership between Taiwan and the U.S. (May 3, 2026)

TRANSCRIPT:

Introduction: Taiwan’s Strategic Importance

JAN JEKIELEK: Taiwan. It’s an island nation one-third of the size of Virginia, yet it produces over 90% of the world’s most advanced chips and more than 90% of the servers powering the AI revolution. And last year, it became America’s fourth-largest trading partner.

ALEXANDER YUI: The Taiwan Straits itself, any conflict in that straits, it will cause a crisis much larger than what is happening on Iran in the Strait of Hormuz. It’s in the trillions and trillions of dollars.

JAN JEKIELEK: In this episode, I’m sitting down with Taiwan’s representative to the United States, Ambassador Alexander Yui, to understand why Taiwan matters and what’s at stake as the Chinese Communist Party ramps up its campaign to isolate, intimidate, and encircle Taiwan.

ALEXANDER YUI: That’s only the part that you see, which is the military part, but PRC has been also using other means, gray zone tactics, using disinformation, cyberattacks, and other means to try to destabilize Taiwan from within. That’s just an example of what we face, but they do that to other parties, including the United States.

JAN JEKIELEK: This is American Thought Leaders, and I’m Jan Jekielek. Ambassador Alexander Yui, such a pleasure to have you on American Thought Leaders.

ALEXANDER YUI: Thank you, Jan, for having me on your show.

Xi Jinping’s 2027 Timeline and PRC Recalculations

JAN JEKIELEK: Xi Jinping, the leader of Communist China, has said that he wants the People’s Liberation Army to be ready to invade Taiwan in 2027. There have been recent actions by the United States in Venezuela, very significant. In Iran, there’s still an Iran war happening. It’s in a ceasefire at the moment. But the question here is, have there been any recalculations in your mind in the PRC? What is Xi Jinping thinking? How is this affecting things? Are there any changes?

ALEXANDER YUI: Well, of course there are. And I want to point out that as China has mentioned to the United States that Taiwan is the greatest risk factor between the relations between China and the United States, actually, I believe that it’s the other way, that the People’s Republic of China is the greatest risk factor for peace and stability in the Taiwan Straits, and in the Pacific region.

They’re the ones who are the aggressors. They’re the ones who are, as you mentioned, militarily preparing for conflict. And the People’s Republic of China has engaged in the largest peacetime military preparedness in human history, and I think that’s unfounded because their borders are not under threat.

But yet, with all the things that are occurring around the world, you mentioned Venezuela, Iran, and others, I think it shows a resolve from the United States to use the necessary tools to fix problems or achieve its objectives. And obviously there’ll be a relevance or reference to that on the Indo-Pacific, in particular to the Taiwan Straits.

Why Taiwan Matters to America

JAN JEKIELEK: There’s a lot of debate in America about how much security should the U.S. actually be providing to Taiwan, and how important U.S. security is to Taiwan, and how important Taiwan is to America. Can you extrapolate on this question from the Taiwanese perspective?

ALEXANDER YUI: Taiwan is relevant for many reasons. And first of all, Taiwan is facing a lot of challenges, aggressions from the People’s Republic of China constantly, militarily, but also questions from many other aspects, internal gray zone tactics, economic coercion, etc. So there is an actual threat to the existence of Taiwan, to the people of Taiwan as a democracy.

The threat that we face is not only ours alone, it’s other countries, Japan, the Philippines, and others. So you ask any country in that region, what is the biggest threat that they’re facing? It is the People’s Republic of China.

But why does it matter to American people? Well, first of all, we’re part of the first island chain, the line of democracies that are facing and contending this aggression from mainland China. And it’s not only about Taiwan or Japan, but going beyond that. And NATO Secretary General, he said it very well recently when he was in Washington, D.C., that just as NATO is keeping the Atlantic Alliance safe and sound on that part, but also us on the Pacific, we’re also holding the line so United States borders are safe. And I think that matters to the United States for that.

But also Taiwan has become an important partner to the United States in terms of technology, in terms of investment, in terms of education, and all sorts of things that we’re engaged in the United States for the last few years. So we’ve become a reliable but also a trusted and important partner with the United States, especially in the age of AI advancements.

The United States is intending on preserving the AI supremacy in the United States and asking partners, including Taiwan, to reach that. To achieve that, Taiwan is a key partner in that. We not only make most of the advanced chips in Taiwan, 95% of the chips, but also Taiwanese companies make 90-plus percent of the data servers and the AI servers that run the AI realm. So we not only do the hardware, but also we are much into this alliance with the United States.

We subscribe with the United States to this Pax Silica Declaration, along with the United States, earlier in January, but also we signed a memorandum with the United States on economic security, on rare earth collaboration, etc., and also the importance of maintaining a safe supply chain, meaning a non-red supply chain, especially in the technological field.

So all that matters to what the United States is.