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Transcript of Col. Douglas Macgregor: Does Trump Understand the Russians?

Read the full transcript of retired colonel and political commentator Col. Douglas Macgregor’s interview on Judging Freedom Podcast with Judge Napolitano on “Does Trump Understand the Russians?”, August 7, 2025.

Introduction

JUDGE NAPOLITANO: Judge Andrew Napolitano here for Judging Freedom. Today is Thursday, August 7th, 2025. My dear friend and great friend of the show, Colonel Douglas McGregor joins us now. Colonel McGregor, of course, you need no introduction. Thank you very much for joining us.

I want to talk to you about what is the issue of the moment, whether President Trump and President Putin are going to get together and ultimately your view about whether President Trump understands the Russians and understands President Putin. But before we do, some other issues that I need to raise with you.

A few months ago, when President Trump, as a favorite of Prime Minister Netanyahu, ordered the Pentagon to bombard the Houthis, a bombardment that Secretary of Defense Hegseth called “a splendid victory,” it ultimately ended in no movement on the part of the Houthis at all. But that’s not my question. Did the US dangerously deplete a certain category of missiles which were used by the Pentagon in that fruitless attack?

America’s Missile Production Crisis

COL. DOUGLAS MACGREGOR: I think we’ve dangerously reduced our arsenal of missiles, period, not just the ones that were used in that attack. And of course, you’re referring to the article that we discussed earlier today, or at least I think I sent it to you.

JUDGE NAPOLITANO: Yes.

COL. DOUGLAS MACGREGOR: And what this article reveals is that we’re woefully behind in the production capacity of all these missiles. They were talking about the SM2 Block 3, which is actually an SM6 missile. Now we can produce, we think roughly 5 to 600 a year. If you’re going to do the kinds of things we are doing, if you’re going to risk war, all out war with anybody today who has any military capability at all, you need to have a production capacity that is 10 times 600. And that’s just the SM series missiles. We haven’t even talked about the Patriot missiles.

All of our missile production is very limited and we have done nothing to fundamentally change that. And this is not a new problem. And that’s part of what was in that article. We have flag officers, in other words, admirals in the Navy and generals, I think in the army and the Air Force, all of whom should be held accountable for the dire straits that we are in with regard to the production of these missiles because they’re the ones that over the last 30 years have been in a position to change this outcome and they haven’t done it.

And of course, then you have the Missile Defense Agency, which is another culprit. We spent an awful lot of money. We don’t know where it went. We’re not sure what we are getting for it. So the whole thing is a disaster, frankly. And if we are drawn back into the war again with Iran, which I suspect we will be, well, then it’s going to be even more acute then, because we haven’t been able to make up the shortfall that we’ve ended up with at this point.

JUDGE NAPOLITANO: How much of our supply of missiles for our own national defense has been depleted by this folly in Ukraine?

Ukraine’s Drain on American Arsenal

COL. DOUGLAS MACGREGOR: Oh, well, that’s been an enormous drain on us. That’s why the joke that came out as soon as we announced that we were going to have another package that President Trump was going to sign off on, that’s in addition to the 55 billion that’s currently under discussion. The joke was, well, nothing will show up for at least a year with regard to Patriot missiles and radars. And when it does, you’ll end up with 17 minutes, if you’re lucky, of air and missile defense.

In other words, you just don’t have the density of missiles that you absolutely need if you’re going to provide any effective point defense. Not area defense, point defense. In other words, you can’t defend Ukraine, but you can defend certain points. Well, right now, we can’t even do that.

And then when you start talking about a potential conflict with Russia, I think the NATO study that came out last year is still unchanged, and that is that we can defend perhaps 5% of NATO territory against air and missile attack from Russia. Well, that’s nothing, Judge. This is all absurd. That’s why the threats that we’ve been making are utterly foolish and empty.

The Kaliningrad Threat

JUDGE NAPOLITANO: If President Trump and Secretary Hegseth unleashed this foolish General Donahue to take Kaliningrad, what will happen in response to the American troops in Europe?

COL. DOUGLAS MACGREGOR: That’s Russian national sovereign territory. So we have to assume that that would be regarded as an active war against the Russian state. If you pay attention to what’s happened over the last few weeks in Belarus, there is an effective unification underway between Russia proper and Belarus. Unification in the sense that Belarusian citizens, there are only 8 million of them, but they can now vote in elections that occur inside Russia. They can hold office inside Russia. In other words, effectively, Belarusian citizens are being given all the rights and privileges of Russian citizenship.

In return for this, you have these Oreshnik missiles that are also deployed on Belarusian soil. That means that right now, in areas that are just west of Minsk, they can launch missiles against Germany, which would be undoubtedly one of the targets given the numbers of forces we have in that country that would be impossible to stop because they’re hypersonic and they would arrive within a few minutes. In other words, you’re no longer launching from Russian territory, you’re launching from Western Belarus.

So the idea that you’re going to successfully overrun and take East Prussia called Kaliningrad now is absurd.