Game Theory #16: Pax Judaica Rising w/ Professor Jiang (Transcript)

And so this is affecting oil supply. And so the global economy could be disrupted or even destroyed if this lasts too long.

So Scott Bessent says, “We knew this was going to happen, and we have a really brilliant plan to destroy the Iranians once and for all. Our plan is this. We’re going to let the Iranians sell their oil and make a lot of money, and then they’ll be destroyed.”

Yeah. So the Americans basically unsanctioned Iranian oil. And because of that, the Iranians were to make $14 billion just like that. The total Iranian military budget for one year is $10 billion. Okay? So this is American genius at work. They knew this was what was happening. They knew the Iranians wanted to destroy the global economy. So the government’s like, what’s to make them rich so they can’t destroy the global economy? We got them now. Alright.

# BlackRock CEO on the Economic Stakes

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LARRY FINK: And yet it remains a threat — a threat to trade, a threat to the Straits of Hormuz. Then I would argue that we could have years — years of above $100, closer to $150 oil. What happens to the global economy if that happens? How do we see it? We’ll have global recession. If there’s a cessation of war and yet —

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PROFESSOR JIANG: So this is Larry Fink, and he’s head of a company called BlackRock, which is the largest asset manager in the world. They manage trillions and trillions of dollars. And what he’s saying — and he’s being interviewed by the BBC — what he’s saying is we can’t stop this war now because if we stop this war now, that means that the price of oil will be too high for many, many years.

The Iranians will control the Strait of Hormuz, and therefore we must fight this war to the end. What he doesn’t address is, well, if you didn’t start this war in the first place, you wouldn’t have this problem, because the Iranians would have had no pretext to close off the Strait of Hormuz. And going back, it would have been fine. But what he’s saying is like, oh, don’t worry about that. The problem is the war has started, and therefore we must fight to the end. Okay?

# Drone Attack on American Base

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UNIDENTIFIED SPEAKER: (No audio — drone footage)

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PROFESSOR JIANG: Okay. So this is a drone launched by an Iranian proxy in Iraq flying over an American base. And as you can see, there’s nothing stopping it. Okay? It’s just flying over this American base. It’s being remote controlled. It spots two American helicopters and destroys one of them. Okay?

Meaning that you have all these American bases throughout the Middle East, and they are vulnerable. They cannot be protected against cheap drones. So from an American perspective, this war will either beg — the Americans — or this war will be lost. Okay? But it’s very hard to fight this war against a determined enemy.

Why America Is Losing This War

So what I want to do now is examine how this war will turn out. Okay?

So I’ve said this many times, but Americans are losing this war. And the main reason is the problem of hubris. And so I want to examine closely what this means strategically, what this means on the battlefield. Okay?

So war is fought across four dimensions. There is the narrative dimension, meaning global opinion, how history will perceive this war. There is the political dimension, meaning how your allies perceive this war, how your domestic base perceives this war. There’s the economic, and then there’s the military.

If we examine this war closely, the Iranians are fighting a very different war from the Americans. What the Americans are doing is basically they are shifting the narrative, political sphere, and economic sphere to fit their military strategy. Okay? Their military strategy is decapitation, which forces surrender. Right? So what they want to do is they want to not destroy the Iranian leadership — destroy the Iranian economy to force a surrender, in which case the Americans can dictate terms. That is their strategy, and that’s about it.

And they are forcing the narrative space, the political space, and then the economic space to conform to the military strategy, meaning that they expect the allies, NATO — they expect the media, they expect the economy to support their strategy.

So for example, in the political space, Donald Trump has ordered NATO to come and open up the Strait of Hormuz. Okay? And also, Donald Trump refuses to ignore the fact that this war is very unpopular back in America. In the economic space, what the Americans are trying to do is keep the price of oil low so it does not disrupt the global economy. And they do that, of course, by unsanctioning Russian and Iranian oil, which benefits the Russian and Iranian economies. Okay? And in a narrow space, they’re basically trying to tell the media to follow the party line. Donald Trump has threatened journalists that if you do not report this war is going well, then I might put you in prison. Alright?

So this is the American strategy — forcing the narrative, political, and economic spheres to conform to military strategy.

The Iranian Counter-Strategy

The Iranians have a different approach. The Iranians are using the military in order to impact the economic, political, and narrative spheres. Alright. It’s completely reversed.

So the military strategy is calculated in a certain way to benefit the Iranian economy. Okay? So what I mean by that is that the military is strategically controlling certain moves so that Chinese ships can pass. Right? Because Chinese ships are the main buyer of Iranian oil. Also, if you are willing to play ball — like Japan or Qatar or Oman — they will also let their ships pass. Okay? So this is being strategic.

Politically, the Iranians are trying to split the Gulf States. Right? They know that Saudi Arabia and UAE are committed to regime change in Iran, but they know that Qatar and Oman are on the other side. Okay? So they’re trying to gain as much global leverage as possible within the GCC.

And the narrative — they’re trying to shape global opinion and trying to make everyone believe that they are on the right side of history, and most people believe that. In fact, you have a lot of Americans who are rooting for the Iranians to win. Alright?

So these are two very different strategies. Alright.

Comparing the Two Strategies: Advantages and Disadvantages

So let’s talk about the advantages and disadvantages of both strategies. Okay.

So from the American perspective, the fact that you have this approach of making the world conform to your military strategy basically means that you lack what we call reflection. Okay? Meaning that you’re not able to sit down with your strategists and discuss how this war is going and how to make changes. But the Iranians are able to do so because the military has to conform to the economic, political, and narrative strategies. Okay?

Second is flexibility. And what I mean by that is the military strategy, if it’s not going well for the Americans, they lack the capacity to reflect and make changes. So what they do is they double down. Okay? They accelerate the process of bombing in Iraq even though it’s probably not getting them anywhere.

Also, much more importantly, the Americans will choose much more self-destructive, desperate strategies, such as sending ground troops. It is possible by this weekend, ground troops will be sent into Iran, which most military analysts believe to be either counter-effective or suicidal.

The Iranians, on the other hand, can adapt their military strategy to the economic and political realities. For example, what they’re doing now is they’re charging tolls to cross the Strait of Hormuz. Okay?

And the third difference is the idea of resilience. So in other words, if you make the world and America conform to your military strategy, they won’t support you. That means that if you’re losing troops and you’re losing equipment, it is very hard to replenish and resupply. Whereas the complete opposite in Iran — because they are winning popular opinion, because their economy is becoming stronger in this process, because they’re winning more global allies, they can actually draw on more support from a population, and they can also recruit foreign fighters and foreign support, foreign sympathy for their cause. Okay?

So for these reasons, I believe that America is losing this war and that ultimately this war will be lost. When this will happen, we don’t know, because America is an empire and they can actually drag this on for at least twenty years. Alright? Okay.

How the World Will Change After This War

So now that we’ve discussed why America will probably lose this war, I want to now shift our focus to discuss how the world will change because of this war. What does the end of this war look like?

And to do that, what’s really important is to go back to our model of how the world works. Okay? So remember, last week, we discussed the structure of the world. And at the very core is the empire, because the empire provides the muscle, the military might to shape the contours of reality. Okay?

And then with the empire, you have the finance. Okay? Finance includes the City of London, Wall Street, Bank of International Settlements, and asset managers. And they are the game masters. Okay? The empire is the muscle, but the finance are the ones who actually set the game. And then this creates the global economy, which is based on the US dollar. Right?

The Military Industrial Complex and American Imperial Decline

PROFESSOR JIANG: But you can’t actually have people believing that this is the way the game is structured because then people won’t want to play the game. So what you do is you create an additional layer of multilateral organizations. What the Americans like to call the rules-based international order, including the UN and the WTO, and other organizations. But this makes people believe that the way the world is structured is fair, open, and transparent, and you hide the finance and the empire behind multilateral organizations.

And then to justify this system, you have the culture, education, and media, which then creates the different legal infrastructure of different nations and the values as well. So this is how the world is organized. We also discussed how there are these organizations that are above the nation state, that are above the system in order to benefit from the system, to keep it going, but also to extract rent from it. And these include intelligence, crime, and science. We also discussed how the organizing forces behind intelligence, crime, and science are transnational capital, secret societies, as well as elite families.

And we discussed how they are bounded together by a concept called the occult, which we’ll study later on. But the idea of the occult. So this is the structure of the world.

Maintaining the Status Quo

Now, once this world is created, what you need to understand is that the people in the different spheres who benefit from the system, first and foremost, their interest is maintaining that status quo. So their interest is in maintaining the status quo. Basically, they want the system to continue.

The problem with the system is at the core is an empire that will probably lose the war in Iran. And this creates a problem because if the empire falls, then it’s possible that its entire edifice falls as well. So the only solution is to replace the empire, the American empire, with another empire. That is able to provide the muscle for this system.

Pax Judaica: Israel as the New Empire

And this empire, I’ve argued in the past, is of course Israel. And this is what we call Pax Judaica. So, on the surface, it seems like this war is between The United States and Iran, but in reality, what this war really is about is a war between The United States and Israel, where the American empire has become corrupt, incompetent, and arrogant, and so now Israel sees an opportunity to replace the American empire in the system. And it’s something that eventually every aspect of the system will agree to do.

So the main outcome of this war when it ends is that Israel will replace America in The Middle East.

Why the American Empire Is Falling

So let me first discuss why the American empire is falling. And the main reason is the idea of something called the military industrial complex. So for most of its history, America did not have a professional army. Why? Because the founding fathers and most American citizens believed that if there’s a professional army, that’s a direct threat to the liberty of the Americans.

Because the Americans fought a war, the revolutionary war, to get rid of the professional army that was the British. So Americans do not like a professional army. But in order to fight World War One and World War Two, they had no choice but to create a standing army.

The problem is that after America won World War Two, the apparatus stayed. The apparatus wanted to maintain the status quo, meaning they wanted access to unlimited government funds. This led to the Cold War. The Cold War was a justification for the MIC, the military industrial complex, to get as much government funding as possible. And the blue, as you can see, is government expenditures.

We can understand why they spent all this money in World War Two because they were fighting a war to save America and to save the world, but as you can see, even though it dropped drastically at the end of the war, starting with the Cold War, you have this uptick. And then you have the Vietnam War. And then, after America won the Cold War, you saw this massive uptick. This is something called the war on terror.

The Military Industrial Complex and Endless Wars

So the military industrial complex is always looking to start wars in order to justify its existence. So there’s a very famous journalist named Julian Assange, and he said this about America:

“The point is not to have successful wars. The point is not to win wars. The point is to have never-ending wars, which allows the military industrial complex to transfer American taxpayer money to a transnational elite.”

Basically, the point of wars is for the military industrial complex to steal as much money as possible from America.

America spends a lot of money on its military. America accounts for 41% of all global military spending. Who’s next? China. China spends 8.2%. Russia, which is America’s main military enemy, only spends 4.1%. Meaning that Russia spends one tenth the amount of money that America spends. And you think that, okay, this all means that America is invincible. But what people don’t recognize is the level of corruption within the American military.

The American military is probably the most corrupt institution in the world by far. No one even comes close.

Pentagon Corruption

On 09/10/2001, Donald Rumsfeld, who is the secretary of defense for the Americans, he’s head of the Pentagon — and this is a day before September 11, the 9/11 attacks — he said that he had a press conference and he said that, look, we’ve looked at the Pentagon books. We’re trying to do an accounting of the Pentagon military spending, and we can’t find $2 trillion. There’s $2 trillion missing from the budget. It went somewhere. We don’t know where, but it went somewhere.

So where does the money go? It goes to public contractors. These are all private companies that make a lot of money off the government. So look at the Boeing company. They had in one year $20 billion from the government. They got $20 billion in contracts from the government. To do so, they had to spend $16 million in order to lobby congress for advertisements, for political campaigns, and then they bribe — this is a bribe — to politicians. They spent $2 million.

So this is a really good business to be in. You spend $2 million, you give bribes to politicians, then you spend $60 million on campaigns, and then you make $20 billion. This is extremely profitable. The difference, of course, is being picked up by the American taxpayer.

The Boeing company is not just a defense contractor but also makes civilian airplanes. And for these past few years, there’s been quite a few cases of civilian airplanes falling out of the sky made by Boeing. For example, the Boeing 737 Max. There was a recall because there were some engineering issues with the plane. Now, there have been a couple of whistleblowers who’ve come out and tried to say that Boeing is a very corrupt company, and for a reason, they die. They just disappear. We don’t know why, but when they were about to testify against Boeing, they somehow died.

A Case Study in Military Theft

This is a really interesting story that shows you the level of corruption in the Pentagon. There is this woman who’s a contractor for the army, and she stole $103 million. That’s a lot of money. $103 million. She stole it. The army didn’t know, and she kept on stealing. And no one seemed to care in the army. But then the IRS — this is the Internal Revenue Service — they recognized that she was getting all this money from somewhere, so they investigated her and recognized, oh my god, she’s stealing from the army.

So the IRS told the army, and that’s when the army recognized, oh, we have a problem. The fact that the army did not notice that she was stealing $103 million tells you, actually, theft in the military is probably a very common thing.

So, ultimately, what this means is that this corruption in the Pentagon is not really sustainable.

America’s Three Major Problems in the War with Iran

So let me discuss why this is a problem for America in Iran. Right now, America is facing three major issues with this war in Iran.

The first major issue is the lack of political will, meaning that this war is very unpopular in America. Only 40% of the population currently supports this war, and as things go on and on, support will probably decrease. You need political will because you need Americans to pay for this war. Trump has asked for $200 billion to fund this war, and also it’s possible that Trump will halt the national draft, which I believe will happen. So if Americans don’t want to support this war, it’s very hard to get them to pay for this war and to go fight this war.

The second problem is lack of manufacturing capacity. In other words, what this means is that if you lose planes, if you use too many bombs, you cannot replenish them because you don’t have the factories to produce these planes and bombs quickly enough. And so if this war drags on too long, then America will just run out of bombs.

The third problem for America is unwillingness to sustain casualties. What this means is that the American military is afraid of reporting deaths and casualties, which is weird because in a war, soldiers die. That’s just the reality of war. But the Pentagon is afraid of reporting too many deaths because of the political backlash.

So these are three major problems for the American military in Iran. These are the three major constraints.

Israel Auditioning to Replace America

So the Americans can actually resolve these issues. America will probably lose its war, in which case, this gives opportunity for Israel to prove to the world that it should be the empire. And it proves it can be the empire by showing that it doesn’t have the manufacturing capacity, but that’s more of a secondary issue. And it is much more strategic. The last thing is that it is resilient, meaning that it’s willing to accept casualties.

So, basically, the idea here is the global elite, they need an empire to provide the muscle, but the empire must prove that it can serve the needs of the global elite. And so an empire must prove three things. First of all, it must prove unity. It must prove it has the resources and the capacity. And it must prove determination.

The Venture Capitalist Analogy

To understand this idea, let’s just do a thought experiment. Let’s just say that we’re venture capitalists. We have billions of dollars. We have trillions of dollars, and we want to invest in a company. So we’re approached by two companies. Company A and Company B.

Company A comes to us and says that, look, I have 100 companies, and they’re all profitable. I don’t have a business plan, but I have lots and lots of resources, and I have a lot of experience, and a lot of skill. And so if I were to invest in another company, I’m sure it’ll make a lot of money. So skills and experience. That is Company A.

Company B is these young guys, and they failed. But they’re like, you know what? We’re going to put our heart and soul into this enterprise. We’re going to work sixteen hours a day, every day for as long as it takes, and we won’t stop. Even if this company is successful, we’re going to keep on going because it’s our passion. And if this company fails, then we’re bankrupt. We might kill ourselves.

So if you are the venture capitalist, do you put your money in A or do you put your money in B? Now, most people would put their money in A because they think it is low risk. But if you’re a smart, accomplished investor, you put your money in B because it’s high reward.

Company A already has 100 companies that are successful. People in the company don’t really care if this new enterprise is successful or not. Who cares? I can afford to lose. In which case, it’s more likely that Company A steals your money than actually invests it properly. Whereas Company B is going to be the opposite, where this is their last chance. If they take your money, they’re going to make sure that they grow it because if they don’t grow it, then they themselves die.

So you need these things. You need unity, capacity, and determination. And so Israel is really auditioning to the world, saying: we are ready to replace America. We are ready to be the new empire.

American Weapons Failing in Combat

So let’s look at what’s happening. America has its MIC. And so the MIC, the military industrial complex, what they’re good at doing is producing very expensive weapon systems. But, unfortunately, when you actually put these weapon systems into war, it doesn’t really do anything.

So this is the Patriot missile system that’s supposed to protect the GCC and Israel and the American military bases from Iranian drones and missiles. Guess what, guys? It doesn’t really work. In fact, as you can see from the video, the Iranians can basically fly drones anywhere in The Middle East, and Americans can’t really stop them. So this is billions of dollars that doesn’t really do anything.

This is called the F-35. The F-35 is the most advanced fighter jet in the whole world. It has stealth technology, meaning you can’t actually lock onto it using radar. This costs $100 million each. It took twenty-six years to develop. So, you would think, wow, it took twenty-six years, so this must be really, really good. No. It took twenty-six years because the MIC is really corrupt, and they want to steal as much money as possible. And in this war, the Iranians have already shut down at least one of these jets. This is not supposed to happen.

The Limitations of American Military Power

PROFESSOR JIANG: You’re not supposed to be able to shoot these things down, but Iranians have shut it down using very low radar. Again, these things, they’re not designed to win wars. They’re designed to steal as much money as possible from American taxpayer.

Now last example is the Gerald Ford. This ship cost $13 billion. The annual defense budget for the Iranians is $10 billion. It goes into the war theater, and three weeks afterwards, it has to run away.

And in fact, the Americans say, oh, the zero four, this is the most advanced super carrier in the world. It’s probably going to be down for repairs the next two years. And this argument as to what happened, there are three different possibilities.

The first possibility is that there was an accident in the laundry room, and there’s a fire, and this fire spread throughout the carrier. Which means that actually, the carrier is not very resilient. So that’s one possibility, and that’s what the official story is.

But there are also others who say the Iranians hit the ship with a missile, and so the zero four can’t protect itself from Iranian missiles, so it ran away.

The third explanation is the Pentagon recognized that there are severe limitations of the zero four in actual combat operations. Its radar, its guidance system are all very limited. So Pentagon withdrew the zero four because it was absolutely useless in war.

Whichever story is true, it doesn’t paint a good picture of American military. $13 billion, and this does nothing. It’s just a white elephant.

The Legacy of Iwo Jima and American Military Will

PROFESSOR JIANG: The readings on it and also, this is Iwo Jima. And this came in World War Two in the Pacific Theater when the Americans were fighting Japanese. And this is the height of American military glory.

It took about 6,000 — the Americans lost 6,000 marines in taking this island, and that’s the sacrifice you need in order to win wars. You’re going to lose a lot of soldiers, and Americans are proud that they were willing to make the sacrifice necessary to win the war.

The problem is Americans are not going to win the sustained casualties. The Americans send about 5,000, around 5,000 marines to Iran, hoping that 5,000 marines will be enough to win this war. But it just shows you the Americans have no strategy to win this war, and they don’t want to make the necessary sacrifices to win this war. They want to win this war as quickly and as cheaply as possible.

Gaza as Proof of Concept

PROFESSOR JIANG: This is Gaza. And we all know that what Gaza did was terrible. But, if you are auditioning to an empire, Gaza is proof of concept. Meaning, it’s showing the global elite, look, we’re willing to do what it takes to win this war and defend the empire. So, this was a tremendous tragedy, and that’s all war crimes. And the entire world is aghast.

But, if you look at Israeli public opinion, 82% support expelling all Palestinians from Gaza. 66% believe Amalek exists today. Amalek exists like, Israel has this great enemy that it wants to defeat. So 66% of Israelis believe that this war against Gaza is a war for the very existence of Israel.

This is unity. This is determination. Americans don’t have this. Most Americans oppose what Israel is doing in Gaza, but Israel itself supports what’s going on.

The Lebanon Pager Attack and Israel’s Strategic Audition

PROFESSOR JIANG: So in 2024, there’s the famous Lebanon pager attack. Meaning that, the Israelis were able to implant bombs into pagers that went to Hezbollah members, and then it blew up. And maybe, from a military perspective, it didn’t accomplish that much. From a psychological perspective, it accomplished a lot. It scared the living hell out of Hezbollah. It made them paranoid, and it also made the world respect Israel more.

And, Israel spent $275 million to conduct this operation. That took decades to implement. And, you’re like, okay, why is Israel telling us this? Because again, Israel is auditioning to be the new empire. It’s telling the whole elite, look, not only will we fight this war for you, not only will we be your muscle, but we’ll do it cheaply, man. Not billions of dollars, millions of dollars.

ISIS and the Mossad Connection

PROFESSOR JIANG: This is ISIS. ISIS is an Islamic State. And this is considered a terrorist organization. These Sunni extremists who go around beheading people.

Now, this is from the New York Times, and the yellow tells you areas in which they operate. And as you can see, it’s really across the Middle East. And the red are incidents of attacks directed by ISIS.

Now, something that’s really funny about all this is ISIS attacks everywhere in the Middle East except for one country, and that country is Israel. Really funny how you have these Muslim extremists going around committing all sorts of atrocities everywhere in the Middle East except Israel. So that’s why a lot of people believe that Islamic State is actually a creation of Mossad.

But, again, Israel is happy for the world to know this because, again, Israel is auditioning to be a new empire. And what Israel is saying is, we don’t have to use the American strategy of just bawling everyone to death. That’s expensive. That’s brutal. It’s not very strategic. We can use the Mossad to infiltrate groups and use these groups against their neighbors. It’s that much more efficient. It’s that much more effective.

So what Israel was saying is we are much better at controlling the Middle East than the Americans. So let us control the Middle East using our strategies.

This is a story of a Mossad agent who was disguised as an ISIS preacher. And this happens a lot. There are lots of stories where you have these ISIS commanders or agents, and when you arrest them, you discover, okay, actually, they’re actually Mossad. So ISIS is basically a Mossad operation.

Israel as the New Empire: A Historical Pattern

PROFESSOR JIANG: So the main story here is, if you look at history, the relationship between Israel and America is actually pretty simple. Israel is the pit bull for America. The problem with empire as it grows old is it doesn’t want to do bad things. It wants to feel good about itself. Therefore, it subcontracts the violence, the murder, the genocide to different people — to mercenaries, the Israelis in the Middle East.

And this is a pattern throughout human history. The Romans started out as mercenaries for the Etruscans in Italy. The Aztecs started out as mercenaries for the Colhuacan in Mexico. The Greeks started out as mercenaries for the Persians. The Mongols started out as mercenaries for the Chinese. The Acadians started out as mercenaries for the Sumerians. The Mamluks started out as mercenaries for the Ayyubid dynasty in Egypt.

In every instance, what happened is the mercenaries eventually got to a point where, we are the ones killing ourselves for this empire. The empire is corrupt, decadent, and weak. Why don’t we just take it over? And they did.

We’re seeing a similar situation play out today in the Middle East where Israel was created by the British and Americans to be their pit bull, to be their aircraft carrier in the Middle East, to create as much instability as possible so that the Americans and the British could control their oil supply in the Middle East.

And this has gone on for decades, and now the Israelis are like, wait a minute here. We’re the ones doing all the work. We’re the ones making all the sacrifices. We’re the ones that are getting all the hate in this world. So why shouldn’t we be the empire now? America’s useless.

So this is a pattern throughout human history. And so we’re going to look at what this means.

The Greater Israel Project

PROFESSOR JIANG: So Israel has something called the Greater Israel project. And this is what extremists in Israel believe. They believe that God in the Bible promised the entire Middle East to the Jewish people. Extending from the Nile in Egypt all the way to the Euphrates in Iraq. And it also encompasses Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, and parts of Turkey as well.

Now, something really funny about this map is this. Iran, Persia, is not part of the Greater Israel project. So then you ask yourself, wait a minute here. If Iran is actually not part of the Greater Israel project, then why is Israel going to war with Iran?

Well, the reason why is if they want all this territory, their main enemy is not Syria — that’s been destroyed. It’s not Iraq — that’s been destroyed. It’s not Saudi Arabia — it’s too weak. Not Jordan — it’s too weak. Not Egypt — it’s too weak. Not Lebanon — it’s too weak.

The main enemy is the American empire. In the Greater Israel project, it’s the Americans that control the land of Greater Israel, the Middle East. These are American bases. So in other words, you use this war against Iran to destroy the American empire. How? By forcing the American empire to go and invade Iran. And when this happens, America will be too overextended, and then they’ll be forced to retreat from the Middle East. So, eventually, America will be defeated. America will be forced to retreat from the Middle East, and that will lead to two regional powers — Iran and Israel.

And again, because of the Greater Israel project, the Israelis have no problem with this. Persia is again not part of the Greater Israel project. The Israelis don’t really care if Iran is still standing. They want Iran to be as weakened as possible. But they really don’t need to defeat Iran to achieve the biblical prophecy, but they do need to defeat the Americans. The Americans are in the way.

Pax Judaica: Control of Oil, Trade, and Technology

PROFESSOR JIANG: So what does the Greater Israel project mean? Well, it means control of the world’s oil, basically. 20% of the world’s oil. So these are the gas fields. The yellow are the gas fields of the Middle East. And the blue are the trade routes. So you can see how Israel is at the very center of all this wealth.

They have the logistics. They have the technology. It makes sense for them to take control of all these resources and then start shipping these resources to Europe as well as to East Asia, China, South Korea, and Japan. So that’s what the Pax Judaica will look like. It will be a trade network controlling all the resources of the Middle East and then shipping off to the rest of the world.

Then you have data centers. Israel has the most data centers in the Middle East, and then Saudi Arabia has 36. UAE has 34. So these three places are competing against each other for AI dominance. Why is AI important? Because it allows you to create a surveillance state. Surveillance is what you need for an empire. You need to control the population.

Now the problem with Saudi Arabia and UAE is for them to build their data centers, they need to import foreign expertise. They themselves do not have the human capital to build these data centers and to run these data centers. On the other hand, Israel does. Israel has the best universities in the Middle East. The best IT talent in the Middle East. It has the best human capital.

Therefore, it makes perfect sense for Israel to just absorb the entire AI network of the Middle East and become the main epicenter of AI surveillance in the Middle East. Which will become the backbone of Pax Judaica.

The India-Middle East Trade Corridor

PROFESSOR JIANG: So what does Pax Judaica look like? It’s really the India-Middle East trade corridor. So look at this map where, for India to get to Europe, it has to go through Israel. So this is what Pax Judaica will look like. Basically, the exact trade corridor that will unite the South Asian Continent with Europe.

But not only that, but the idea of this is also to connect to Africa. Because no other place is able to access Africa. Only Israel is. And not only that, but it’s also able to access Ukraine and Russia. So the idea is to take Russian and Ukrainian energy and food and then transport it into Africa. That’s connecting the world.

So Israel, because of its location, can really be the epicenter of all global trade.

Iran’s Economic Rise Through the War

PROFESSOR JIANG: Now, let’s look at Iran. So, for the longest time, Iran did have lots of resources, oil resources, but the Americans put sanctions on these oil exports. This war has basically lifted all sanctions. So, the Iranian economy is now able to export its oil all across the world.

So, this is Trita Parsi, and he is probably America’s foremost expert on Iran. He talks to a lot of people, and what he’s saying is basically, Iran now is able to produce oil, transport it across the world, and then get money for it.

So, the conclusion he makes is this: Trump and Israel’s war has ended up delivering Iran de facto sanctions relief. Before the war, Iran was cut off from the global economy. Because of this war, Iran now is becoming embedded into the global economy. It’s the complete opposite of the intention of this war. And what this means is Iran is now less incentivized to end the war. The more this war keeps on going, the more Iran benefits economically.

Iran’s Role in the New World Order

PROFESSOR JIANG: So Iran, once this war ends, becomes the epicenter of two major trade networks. The first is something called the North-South Transport Corridor that links Russia and Iran together. And this will then allow Russia to access India and Asia and allow Iran to access Europe. So this is the North-South corridor that’s controlled by Russia.

But, also, you have, of course, the Belt and Road Initiative. And guess what? Iran is also at the epicenter of this trade network. For China to access Europe, it has to go through Iran. For Europe to access China, it has to go through Iran as well.

So this is what the new world will look like after the war. You’ll have two regional powers, Israel and Iran.

The Law of the Jungle: Strong vs. Weak in Geopolitics

PROFESSOR JIANG: And they will have their own independent trade networks, and they will have their own access to resources. So Israel will control the resources of the Middle East, and Iran will control the Strait of Hormuz. Okay? And with the Strait of Hormuz, they collect a toll which will feed the economy. They will be helped by Russia and China because it is in Russia and China’s best interest to develop the infrastructure of Iran to facilitate global trade.

Okay? But then you’re like, wait a minute here, but Iran and Israel are enemies. Okay. So this is a misunderstanding. Ideologically, Iran and Israel are enemies.

But I want to teach you three basic principles or rules of geopolitics. Okay? And once you understand these rules, it’ll be much easier for you to understand the new world that we’re going into.

Three Rules of Geopolitics

The first is this. The strong respect each other and prey on the weak. Okay? This makes sense. Right? Why are the strong fighting each other? Wouldn’t it be easier for them to leave each other alone and go pick on the weak? It benefits everyone. Right?

So in this situation, right, you have different countries. You have GCC. You have Israel. You have The United States. You have Iran. Okay? So you have these four different players in this war. Right now, it’s essentially Israel, GCC, and US fighting against Iran.

But if Iran proves it is strong and Israel proves it’s strong, and GCC proves it’s weak, The US proves it’s weak, guess what’s going to happen? Israel and Iran are going to get together and say, screw these guys. Let’s work together, man. It doesn’t make sense. Even though at the beginning, it seems as though Israel, GCC, and US are allies against Iran.

Ultimately, if Iran is able to prove it’s strong, then Israel will ban the GCC and The United States. And Israel will work with Iran to build a new order in the Middle East. Because that’s a law of the jungle. Okay? That is what is in the best interest according to game theory for Israel.

And the last thing to understand is the weak do not work well together. The weak must ally with a strong for protection. Okay?

So what this means is that GCC is weak. Right? So you look at Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar. Okay? So these are the six GCC countries. They’re all weak. And you would think, you know what? If they were to combine their resources and fight together, they could probably beat Israel or probably beat Iran.

The problem with this is weak players don’t work well together. They’re weak because they’re stupid. And so what they do is rather than seek to work together, what they do is they seek to ally with stronger forces. Okay?

So right now, they’re all aligned with The United States and Israel. Alright? Against Iran. But as this war progresses and The US falls, then what will happen is that they must either choose Israel or Iran. And what’s going to happen is that you might have some places, Qatar and Oman, who choose, you know what? Screw this. We’re going to join Iran. And then you have Saudi Arabia and UAE who are like, okay. Let’s join Israel. Okay?

But the GCC, regardless of what happens, will no longer be a major geopolitical factor in The Middle East anymore. A lot of them will be destroyed because of this war.

Game Theory Outcomes and Intellectual Speculation

Alright? So according to game theory, this is what the world should look like after the war ends. But, again, this is all theory. Okay? This is a class focused on intellectual speculation. It’s meant to be fun. It’s meant to make us more curious about the world. It’s supposed to heighten our critical thinking skills.

This is not meant to be prophecy. Okay? I’m not saying this must happen. I’m saying this might happen for these reasons. And if they do happen, then this provides us a good framework to understand our reasoning better. Okay? But if it doesn’t work out this way, it’s fine. We just go back and analyze what went wrong better. Okay?

What’s really important is not to set a judgment. What’s really important is keep our minds open and be open to the possibility of different outcomes. Alright?

Q&A Session

AUDIENCE QUESTION: If Israel really, like, defeated America, what will—

PROFESSOR JIANG: No. No. No. No. I didn’t say Israel will defeat America. I never said that. Okay?

AUDIENCE QUESTION: Well, Israel might—

PROFESSOR JIANG: No. No. Let’s be clear about language. I did not say Israel will fight America. What I said is, Israel is auditioning to replace America. Israel is trying to prove to the global elite, “I’m strong enough to replace America when America leaves the Middle East.” You understand?

AUDIENCE QUESTION: Yeah. Okay?

PROFESSOR JIANG: Let’s be clear about the language. Yes?

AUDIENCE QUESTION: Like, what will — like, Israel tried to prove that it’s stronger than America. And I’m curious like what the next step Israel will take if like it’s trying to show that it’s strong.

PROFESSOR JIANG: Okay. Alright. So, look. Israel doesn’t have to do anything different. Israel is determined to win this war. Right? That’s all it has to do. Israel is determined to win this war, and The United States is not determined to win this war. The answer is it doesn’t even know what it’s doing. Okay?

Replacing the American Empire

Alright. So what’s important. Okay? What’s really important is to go back to our analysis. Remember, you need an empire. You need an empire. Okay? And you have the finance, the game masters. And then you have the global economy. Okay.

Alright. So the different players. And, again, there’s a really important idea to understand. All these players are interested in maintaining the status quo. Eventually, as this world progresses, they’re going to recognize that America is actually a problem. The American empire is not a good thing. It’s not a benefit to us. It’s a problem for us. And so we need to replace the American empire. Right? And who’s the only alternative? Israel.

So we need to transition from America to Israel if we are to maintain a system. Then they’ll recognize that, okay. The problem though is America will not go away. Empires don’t surrender power willingly, and so we need to create a situation in which America is forced out of the Middle East.

Now Iran cannot defeat America on the battlefield. America can drag this thing on for at least twenty years, but we don’t want to wait twenty years because we’ll lose a lot of money in the process, and there’s no point in waiting twenty years. So we need to force America out of the Middle East.

So if we cannot defeat America on the battlefield, what we need to do is cause America to implode. We need to cause a collapse in America. And how do you do that? The economy. If I crash the stock market, if I cause oil to go way up, if I cause all discontent in America, this will cause a civil war in America, and then the American military has no choice but to retreat back into America. Okay? And then Israel will naturally take over from America.

And this is something we’ll discuss next class. Okay? The strategy for how they destroy the American empire and replace it with Israel. Right? Does that make sense? Okay.

Any more questions, guys?

Okay. Great. So I will see you next week. Okay? Alright. So was this interesting? Yeah. Alright. Was this clear? Yeah.

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