Skip to content
Home » Stanislav Krapivnik: Kiev Attacked, Frontlines Fall & Belarus Enters War? (Transcript)

Stanislav Krapivnik: Kiev Attacked, Frontlines Fall & Belarus Enters War? (Transcript)

Editor’s Note: In this episode, host Glenn Diesen is joined by former U.S. Army officer Stanislav Krapivnik to discuss the escalating conflict in Ukraine and shifting frontlines. The conversation delves into the strategic implications of increased missile strikes, the internal political dynamics within Russia and Ukraine, and the growing concern over the potential for the war to expand into neighboring countries like Belarus. (June 2, 2026)

TRANSCRIPT:

GLENN DIESEN: Welcome back. Today is June 2nd, 2026, and we have the great privilege of being joined by Stanislav Krapivnik, a former US Army officer who since returned to his native Donbas. So thank you for coming back on the program.

STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK: Thank you. And it’s always a pleasure to be on. Well, I’ve returned to the Donbas a bunch of times, but I’m living up in Moscow.

GLENN DIESEN: Moscow now, yes.

STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK: But yeah, we travel quite a bit. I just had a couple of friends, they’re former military, so they’re a little more stable in these situations than civilians. They did a run down to Zaporizhzhia and on their way back up and down the highway that the Ukrainians are trying to turn into the highway of death and they’re saying that they’re hitting.

This is the Rostov-Taganrog-Mariupol highway that then branches off, goes on to Kherson, which when you’re kind of, isn’t quite been liberated yet, Kherson Oblast, and then branches off into Crimea. And the Ukrainians are talking about they’re using drones to hit fuel trucks. Well, really what they’re doing is, and they have hit a few fuel trucks, military ones, but the majority of what they’re hitting is civilian trucking, killing civilians.

But what they’ve started doing is using drones to drop mines in the middle of night and leave. And as they were coming back, a civilian car ahead of them drove over one of those mines and blew up. So this is the situation. It’s basically just more terror bombing. Dropping mines all over the roads, and the vast, vast, vast majority of traffic is civilian traffic. So they’re out to kill more civilians. Nothing new.

Russia’s Escalation and the Strikes on Kiev

GLENN DIESEN: Yeah, I wanted to get to that later on as well, the front lines, because there are different developments on different parts of the fronts. But yeah, I wanted to first ask, though, about how you see Russia going up this escalation ladder now, because when I woke up this morning, we saw again another massive strike on Kiev. And in the past, we knew that there were limited strikes at least on Kiev. And you had the Western leaders being essentially free to catch the train in and out as they pleased. But something appears to have changed in Moscow in terms of the decision-making. Now we see that Kiev, I guess, is no longer off-limits. It’s being hit much harder.

And also the rhetoric against, well, especially the European countries is also intensifying. What is your sense of what has shifted in mood in Moscow?

STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK: Well, the mood in Moscow — I guess better to say the mood in the Kremlin, because the mood in Moscow is Kiev should be a crater, Estonia should be a crater, and maybe a few European cities, or non-Russian, non-Ukrainian European cities should be a crater. The mood in Moscow is extremely militant, but the vast majority, and the vast majority of Russia.

The Gamification of Drone Warfare

As I was saying, civilians being killed, this is nothing new. The Ukrainians are murdering between 5 to 10 civilians every single day. Have we talked about the gamification of drone warfare? No. Okay. I haven’t talked to you about that. Okay. So the gamification of drone warfare.

Why are Ukrainians, as a last resort, killing civilians? So these guys — and by the way, this is also a reason why drone operators, Ukrainian drone operators, don’t ever seem to make it to becoming POWs, if you get my point — the Ukrainians have an incentive program.

So if they blow up military, expensive military equipment, they get a certain amount of points. They take out military personnel, they get a certain other amount of points. If that’s not part of the target area or targets in the area, they’ll go after civilian engineering equipment or telecommunication equipment. If that’s not in the area, they go after civilian trucking. If that’s not in the area, they go after civilian cars. If that’s not in the area, they’ll go after a grandma walking a baby in a pram. They have to kill something to get some amount of points.

The points go down as you go down the target categories. If their batteries are starting to run out as they’re waiting or trying to find something to kill, oh look, there’s a kid in a playground. Well, it’s still a kid in a playground. I’ve got to kill Russians. So they will go after that.

The unit, be it a section, a platoon, the company, they collect these points at the end of the month and they use them to buy equipment. They get better equipment, they get better pay, get better provisions, swag, what have you. So this is the gamification of warfare. Another NATO creation handed over to the Ukrainian lab dog.

So yeah, that takes the incentive — the KPI there is to kill something. That takes whatever little humanity is left in these bastards and deletes it permanently. So they have to kill something. Otherwise, if they lose the drones and don’t do anything, they get penalized. And when you consider the vast majority of drones don’t kill anything — I mean, all the kills you’re seeing with drones is about only about 15 to 20% of the drones. The rest of the drones are stopped, shot down, catch on trees, and so on and so on.

So this is the reality of it.