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Home » Tucker Carlson Show: w/ Top Putin Advisor Sergey Karaganov (Transcript)

Tucker Carlson Show: w/ Top Putin Advisor Sergey Karaganov (Transcript)

Tucker Carlson opens this episode with a stark warning: a top adviser to Vladimir Putin now says Russia is actively considering nuclear strikes on the UK and Germany if the Ukraine war continues on its current path. He walks through what Moscow’s updated nuclear doctrine really says, why Russian elites frame the conflict as a proxy war with NATO rather than a fight with Ukraine itself, and how recent hypersonic missile attacks are meant to signal that red lines are being crossed.

The episode then features a long-form interview with Putin adviser Sergey Karaganov, who bluntly outlines the scenarios under which he believes Russia would “punish” Europe with nuclear weapons. Use this transcript to track each claim, escalation risk, and strategic argument in full, from Carlson’s monologue to Karaganov’s most alarming statements. (January 15, 2026 )

The Global Landscape: Three Major Flashpoints

TUCKER CARLSON: Well, there’s a lot going on tonight, around the world, certainly here in the United States, but foreign policy has got to be the headline tonight. And in order, here’s what’s happening.

We’re awaiting what look like imminent strikes on Iran. I have no idea actually whether those will happen or not, but all signs indicate something is coming and certainly momentum is in that direction and events tend to follow momentum almost independently of the judgment of people who are in charge. So it looks like we will be striking Iran or doing something there.

It looks like the United States will be taking Greenland from Denmark, which sort of owns it. There are pictures this afternoon of a sad looking Danish president or king or emir or potentate or whatever, whoever runs Denmark. Oh, how the Scandinavians have been diminished. Leaving the White House looking kind of sad. So looks like the news has been delivered to him. Sorry. No more Denmark for you. It is now an American protectorate.

And then, of course, there’s Venezuela. Venezuela, as you well know, was changed. It was regime change, sort of, shortly after New Year’s by the Trump administration, and the then leader Nicolas Maduro and his wife were extradited, some say kidnapped, and moved to New York. They’ll be put on trial, we are told. And so there’s that, and that country and the rest of world are trying to figure out, like, what are the implications of this, and what happens to Venezuela next?

Assessing the Downside Risks

You have those top three. And, of course, you pray sincerely, and you hope, and sometimes you tell yourself that everything’s going to be completely fine, and it may be completely fine, by the way. We don’t know any differently. But you also assess downside risk. What are the potential downside risks? Without getting into too much detail, of course they exist. There’s downside risk in every human action.

And in the case of a strike on Iran, you know, the country could fall apart and become Libya, is kind of a big deal given its geographic location, given its energy reserves, and given the region. You could see Iran strike out at Israel, for example, to such an extent with conventional weapons that the iron dome, the fabled iron dome, does not protect Israel’s two largest cities and a lot of Israelis get killed. You could see that for sure. That is not a crazy thing to worry about.

You could also see attacks against energy infrastructure in the Gulf right across the water from Iran. The six Gulf countries that produce a lot of the world’s energy, oil and gas, and you could see those taken out. That is possible. They have air defenses in their energy facilities, but how good are they? We don’t know. We could find out. And if that happened, you would see an oil shock, which would lead to a global economic shock of unknown proportions, but that’s never good.

In Greenland, what are the downsides of taking Greenland? Well, you establish a precedent that if I have the power, I get to take what I want. That has always been enforced. That is human nature. We have constructed an elaborate series of rules, theoretical rules designed to pretend that is not true and to mitigate it to some extent over the last eighty years, but really that has always been true and always will be true.

But that is a pretty tough game once you write the rules that if someone can take something because they want it, it’s okay. You have to live with them. NATO will effectively be done. How can you have a defensive alliance when one member acts against another? Probably can’t. NATO was going out anyway. Is it really bad that NATO’s going away? No. It’s a huge victory for the world and for the United States, but it’s going to be tough for its many employees and for the entire infrastructure of foreign policy thinkers such as they are in Washington and Brussels and throughout Europe, they’re going to have to face the reality that this is not a real thing anymore. If NATO was real, then the US wouldn’t have taken Greenland. So there’s that, apparently a downside.

And then in Venezuela, the downside is obvious. You could have chaos. You could have a black hole. You could have a migrant crisis. Once again, the energy infrastructure could be destroyed. You could see a move against the government that we effectively left in place. It’s sort of weird to think that a lot of people in Washington are rooting for Delsy Rodriguez, apparently the head of state now, who is an accolade of Hugo Chavez, but she also represents stability, and at this point stability is what people want most.

So those are the kinds of things that people who think about this stuff for a minute are concerned about, maybe not panicked, but definitely concerned.

Russia’s Nuclear Threat: The Biggest Story No One’s Covering

But none of those concerns comes even close to what is happening in Eastern Europe, what is happening between Russia and Ukraine.